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Vegas v. Fogerlund

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 30 May 2007, at 7:10 p.m.

In Response To: Vegas v. Fogerlund (Stick)

Not good enough? Too good? Well, you can't be both (at most scores) so just do it. Double. All you have to do to win is come in on a 5 point board and avoid a probable double (or triple) shot ... that may not be easy, but you could come in and get hit and still be a favorite ... so you're probably a good-sized favorite now, and you're not too good, since you don't rate to win too many gammons. So I'd double. And take. White's g-less take point is less than 25%, he's got that and more, and there isn't much gammon danger.

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