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Outline of Thorp's Tables 7-6, 7-7 & 7-8, combined, in "..Math. of Gambling".
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: Outline of Thorp's Tables 7-6, 7-7 & 7-8, combined, in "..Math. of Gambling". (Chuck Bower)
Date: Thursday, 31 May 2007, at 4:38 a.m.
For 43 vs. 43, passing is a 0.0034 error; for 66 vs. 66, passing is a 0.0387 error, according to these rollouts:
Money game. Blue on roll
White 7
Blue 7 Position ID: FAAAoAAAAAAAAA Match ID: cAkAAJAAKAAA
• Blue doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.4983 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.9966 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0034 3. No double +0.5015 -0.4950 Proper cube action: Double, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7492 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2508 0.0000 0.0000 +0.4983 +0.5015 Standard error 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Player White owns 2-cube 0.7492 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2508 0.0000 0.0000 +0.9966 +0.9966 Standard error 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1064804351 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Money game. Blue on roll
White 12
Blue 12 Position ID: YAAAAAMAAAAAAA Match ID: cAkAAJAAKAAA
• Blue doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5090 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.9613 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0387 3. No double +0.6031 -0.3581 Proper cube action: Double, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7545 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2455 0.0000 0.0000 +0.5090 +0.6031 Standard error 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Player White owns 2-cube 0.7545 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2455 0.0000 0.0000 +1.0180 +0.9613 Standard error 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1064804351 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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