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BGonline.org Forums
OLM Thurs. May 31
Posted By: John Little In Response To: OLM Thurs. May 31 (Stick)
Date: Thursday, 31 May 2007, at 8:58 a.m.
We need to constrain his laggards and force him to play with the checkers in his prime, so I'd really like to have the bar point here. I count 12 shots for him if we bring two more builders down, and we're only slightly more likely to make the bar than we are to be hit-I count 15 numbers that don't break the 8 point, plus another 14 that make the 9 which would be nice to have too. On the other hand we can cover the outfield and hope to pick off the escapees and then hope to root a checker or two loose from the prime when they reenter, or at least get the bar or 9 started with a tempo if they escape. 13/10, 11/10 seems like the best way to execute that plan. The fewer shot/fewer builder plays like 14/11, 13/12 just seem indecisive to me. It's probably way too big, but I'm mesmerized by the symmetry of 13/12, 13/10. Half of his hitting numbers also make our bar point which would be a pretty unwelcome development if we chose one of the other plays.
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