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Money game rollout

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Thursday, 31 May 2007, at 10:01 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Stick)

Money game. Blue on roll.

White	88
Blue	50
Position ID: t90ASAF2BwAAAQ Match ID: UQkAAJAAKAAA

• Blue doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0253)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.4046
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.5407
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4593
3.	Double, take	+0.5154	-0.0253
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (5.2%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.6446 0.1123 0.0030 - 0.3554 0.0000 0.0000 +0.4046 +0.5407 Standard error 0.0013 0.0013 0.0002 - 0.0013 0.0000 0.0000 0.0026 0.0033 Player White owns 4-cube 0.6492 0.1085 0.0032 - 0.3508 0.0000 0.0000 +0.8202 +0.5154 Standard error 0.0015 0.0014 0.0003 - 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0057 0.0078
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1064804351 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.4399
0.6697 0.0985 0.0019 - 0.3303 0.0000 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.6552
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.3448)
3. No double +0.6514 ( -0.0038)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

Messages In This Thread

• Vegas v. Fogerlund
  Stick -- Wednesday, 30 May 2007, at 7:20 a.m.
  • Vegas v. Fogerlund
    Keene -- Wednesday, 30 May 2007, at 6:30 p.m.
    • Keene..the score ?
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 30 May 2007, at 6:58 p.m.
  • Vegas v. Fogerlund
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 30 May 2007, at 7:10 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Thursday, 31 May 2007, at 6:24 a.m.
    • Money game rollout
      Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 31 May 2007, at 10:01 a.m.
    • Rollout
      Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 31 May 2007, at 4:13 p.m.
      • Rollout
        Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 31 May 2007, at 4:25 p.m.
        • Rollout
          Stick -- Friday, 1 June 2007, at 12:55 a.m.
          • Rollout
            Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 1 June 2007, at 2:15 a.m.