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Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: Rollout in the oven-nt (neilkaz)
Date: Monday, 4 June 2007, at 8:32 p.m.
Even with a 4-0 lead to 15 we see the huge effect match score has on a gammonish 4 cube (since this is a dead pass for money)
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 4 (match to 15 points)
Move number 5: user on roll, cube decision?
Pip counts: gnubg 160, user 139
Position ID: uG0DAFpstwECRg Match ID: UQngAQAAIAAA
• user doubles
Alert: wrong double ( -0.0792)!
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.7082 (Money: +0.7771) Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.7999 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.2001 3. Double, take +0.7207 -0.0792 Proper cube action: No redouble, take (28.4%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player user owns 2-cube 0.7119 0.3641 0.0599 - 0.2881 0.0675 0.0032 +0.7082 +0.7999 Standard error 0.0024 0.0028 0.0027 - 0.0024 0.0015 0.0008 0.0069 0.0146 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.7040 0.3626 0.0919 - 0.2960 0.0660 0.0110 +1.1950 +0.7207 Standard error 0.0029 0.0036 0.0041 - 0.0029 0.0016 0.0023 0.0160 0.0236 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1135 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062097077 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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