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Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 4 June 2007, at 8:32 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout in the oven-nt (neilkaz)

Even with a 4-0 lead to 15 we see the huge effect match score has on a gammonish 4 cube (since this is a dead pass for money)

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 4 (match to 15 points)

Move number 5: user on roll, cube decision?


 ' '2O3X2X2X2X2X '1O ' '

2X1X2O2O3O2O2O ' ' ' ' '

Pip counts: gnubg 160, user 139
Position ID: uG0DAFpstwECRg Match ID: UQngAQAAIAAA

• user doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0792)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.7082(Money: +0.7771)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.7999
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.2001
3.Double, take +0.7207 -0.0792
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (28.4%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player user owns 2-cube0.71190.36410.0599-0.28810.06750.0032 +0.7082 +0.7999
Standard error0.00240.00280.0027-0.00240.00150.0008 0.0069 0.0146
Player gnubg owns 4-cube0.70400.36260.0919-0.29600.06600.0110 +1.1950 +0.7207
Standard error0.00290.00360.0041-0.00290.00160.0023 0.0160 0.0236
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1135 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062097077 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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