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Rollout, White on roll

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Thursday, 7 June 2007, at 5:09 a.m.

In Response To: CUBE Problem Here!!! (pekfrench)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 3: White on roll, cube decision?

White72


3X2X2X1X1X4X '1X1O ' ' '

 '2O2O2O2O3O1X '2O ' ' '

Blue105

Position ID: tu0YEEC31ROAAA Match ID: MAEAAAAAAAAA

• White doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.6694
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.2124 +0.2124
3.No double +0.5931 -0.4069
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.73390.25620.0030-0.26610.05550.0021 +0.6694 +0.5931
Standard error0.00160.00360.0002-0.00160.00250.0003 0.0050 0.0075
Player Blue owns 2-cube0.74400.23850.0017-0.25600.06080.0021 +1.3307 +1.2124
Standard error0.00350.00660.0005-0.00350.00270.0004 0.0168 0.0216
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
159 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062025723 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]


Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.6779
0.7376 0.2586 0.0036 - 0.2624 0.0576 0.0018
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass +1.0000
2. Double, take +1.2402 ( +0.2402)
3. No double +0.5983 ( -0.4017)
Proper cube action: Double, pass

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