OTB I had a really hard time with this cube, noting that I think I play a bit stronger than Carter so I will pass a borderline cube. The position is a more clear take than I'd expected.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 2, user 2 (match to 9 points)
Move number 5: gnubg on roll, cube decision?
Pip counts: gnubg 29, user 21
Position ID: bxcAAGA7AAAAAA Match ID: AgEgASAAEAAA
• gnubg doubles
| Cube decision | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rollout cubeless equity | +0.4244 | (Money: +0.4244) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cubeful equities: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1. | Double, take | +0.8017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.0000 | +0.1983 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3. | No double | +0.6972 | -0.1045 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Proper cube action: | Redouble, take | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rollout details | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 944 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062124096 and quasi-random dice | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
My method for these pips vs rolls situations is not EPC but does similar stuff. It is based on a method I developed for myself when Hal Heinrich's BOINC program came out around the late 80's.
Anyhow.. I don't have time to give away all my secrets but long ago for money I found out that when a very efficient 28 pip bearoff cubes a 5 roll speed board. It is still a take.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 2, user 2 (match to 9 points)
Move number 10: gnubg on roll, cube decision?
Pip counts: gnubg 28, user 13
Position ID: 3wMAAMAOAAAAAA Match ID: AgEgASAAEAAA
• gnubg doubles
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.5184 | (Money: +0.5184) | |
| 0.7592 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2408 0.0000 0.0000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | Double, take | +0.9776 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.0000 | +0.0224 |
| 3. | No double | +0.7852 | -0.1924 |
| Proper cube action: | Redouble, take | ||
OK so I felt that in the actual position, my side (Blue) was about 2 pips worse than a perfect speed board (actual# is 1.5 pips) and I felt that White was (after much thought and finally noticing the wasted roll when small nembers get thrown a couple of times 3 pips worse than the best 28 pip position (note White has 29 pips)(actual# is 2.7 pips) so I was really leaning toward this be a clear technical take and when I realized that these adjustments lengthen the race slightly and add a bit more vol., I had to take.
I took and Carter rolled 54 and 44 and sent me into the Conso where I finished 2nd .. neilkaz ..