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Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Friday, 8 June 2007, at 12:50 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Thurs. June 7th (Stick)

TCTC between the top two clean pointbreakers and 8/3 not bad. My choice, well,... Much of the time the 3-point will disappear with the alternates and our remaining distribution is much better. So a small loss in one area for a better gain in another.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 4 (match to 15 points)

Move number 5: Blue on roll, cube decision?


3X5X '2X ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

2X3X2O3O3O3O2O2O ' ' ' '

Pip counts: White 138, Blue 81
Position ID: 9xkAADfs7jYAAA Match ID: UQngAQAAIAAA

• Blue moves 6/3 5/3

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +1.3738(Money: +1.3795)
0.9398 0.4763 0.0245 - 0.0602 0.0009 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +1.3953
2.Double, take +2.4436 +1.0483
3.Double, pass +1.0000 -0.3953
Proper cube action:Too good to redouble, pass (27.4%)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 7/5 7/4 +1.4967
0.96570.48890.0407-0.03430.00020.0000 +1.4526 +1.4967
0.00060.00150.0007-0.00060.00000.0000 0.0019 0.0020
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3495 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1061302016 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 8/6 8/5 +1.4956 ( -0.0011)
0.96480.48470.0447-0.03520.00020.0000 +1.4505 +1.4956
0.00060.00150.0008-0.00060.00000.0000 0.0019 0.0021
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3495 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1061302016 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 8/3 +1.4872 ( -0.0095)
0.96230.48120.0429-0.03770.00040.0000 +1.4398 +1.4872
0.00060.00160.0009-0.00060.00010.0000 0.0020 0.0023
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3495 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1061302016 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
• 4 R 6/3 5/3 +1.4703 ( -0.0264)
0.95500.47290.0406-0.04500.00030.0000 +1.4153 +1.4703
0.00140.00340.0018-0.00140.00010.0000 0.0047 0.0047
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
921 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1061302016 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 2 8/5 6/4 +1.4958 ( -0.0009)
0.9516 0.5426 0.0489 - 0.0484 0.0027 0.0000
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6 2 7/5 6/3 +1.4490 ( -0.0477)
0.9410 0.5212 0.0393 - 0.0590 0.0045 0.0000
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
7 2 7/4 5/3 +1.4460 ( -0.0507)
0.9394 0.5210 0.0392 - 0.0606 0.0048 0.0000
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
8 2 7/4 6/4 +1.4266 ( -0.0701)
0.9326 0.5134 0.0395 - 0.0674 0.0057 0.0000
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
9 2 8/5 7/5 +1.4226 ( -0.0741)
0.9241 0.5203 0.0431 - 0.0759 0.0081 0.0000
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
10 2 8/6 7/4 +1.4198 ( -0.0769)
0.9222 0.5228 0.0410 - 0.0778 0.0084 0.0000
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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