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Rollout(s)

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 10 June 2007, at 11:57 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Sat. June 9th (Stick)

Still clearly TG since you can always cash owning the cube. 4/3 is the correct ace, leaving me less shots/a chance to get back in it. (I didn't even bother with 3/2* knowing it's wasting away again in whopperville.)

The score (after 1 game) is: Stick 0, Readers 4 (match to 15 points)

Move number 70: Readers on roll, cube decision?

Stick	99
Readers	56
Position ID: 9xkBSRA/9wAAIA Match ID: UQngAQAAIAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.852	(Money: +0.861)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+1.081
2.	Double, take	+1.430	+0.349
3.	Double, pass	+1.000	-0.081
Proper cube action:		Too good to redouble, pass (18.8%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Readers owns 2-cube 0.825 0.210 0.002 - 0.175 0.000 0.000 +0.852 +1.081 Standard error 0.003 0.006 0.001 - 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.007 0.014 Player Stick owns 4-cube 0.841 0.196 0.002 - 0.159 0.000 0.000 +1.644 +1.430 Standard error 0.004 0.006 0.001 - 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.016 0.020
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
158 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1061282872 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	bar/20 4/3	+1.036
			0.815 0.163 0.000 - 0.185 0.000 0.000 +0.788 +1.036 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			806 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1061282872 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	bar/19	+1.011 ( -0.025)
			0.815 0.174 0.001 - 0.185 0.000 0.000 +0.799 +1.011 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			806 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1061282872 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• OLM Sat. June 9th
  Stick -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 7:08 a.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th
    garyo -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 9:48 a.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th
    kristoffer -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 9:55 a.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th -- oh yea
    Stick -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 10:04 a.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th
    mamabear -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 11:50 a.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th
    Philippe Michel -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 12:45 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th
    Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 1:47 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th
    pekfrench -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 1:51 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th
    Chase -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 2:15 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 3:49 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th
    John Little -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 5:37 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th
    Stein Kulseth -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 6:28 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th
    Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 9:11 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. June 9th
    misja -- Saturday, 9 June 2007, at 9:35 p.m.
  • Rollout(s)
    Stick -- Sunday, 10 June 2007, at 11:57 a.m.