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Bubble bursting cubeful rollout

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Monday, 11 June 2007, at 5:40 p.m.

In Response To: BK's forever - ROLLOUT (Keene)

So, the good news is that my auto-play of 8/4(2)* is no longer a 0.264 error

-0.264 was the cubeful error according to the Gnubg's 2-ply evaluation. -0.074 was the cubeless error according to a cubeless rollout. Here's a cubeful rollout:

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 5 (match to 7 points)

Move number 3: Blue to play 22

White	109
Blue	92
Position ID: s3MSGATtbAYLAA Match ID: cAnpAAAAKAAA

• Blue moves 8/4*(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	14/12 6/4*(2) 3/1	+1.1197
			0.8468 0.2802 0.0060 - 0.1532 0.0240 0.0007 +1.1181 +1.1197 0.0027 0.0050 0.0015 - 0.0027 0.0015 0.0002 0.0067 0.0096
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			674 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1061603198 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	8/4*(2)	+0.8989 ( -0.2208)
			0.7626 0.3843 0.0132 - 0.2374 0.0912 0.0021 +1.0241 +0.8989 0.0020 0.0053 0.0025 - 0.0020 0.0014 0.0001 0.0078 0.0100
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			674 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1061603198 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

1. Cubeful 2-ply 14/12 6/4*(2) 3/1 Eq.: +1.1172

0.8301 0.3155 0.0049 - 0.1699 0.0199 0.0005

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

4. Cubeful 2-ply 8/4*(2) Eq.: +0.8527 ( -0.2645)

0.7576 0.3976 0.0072 - 0.2424 0.0838 0.0027

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 5 (match to 7 points)

Move number 3: Blue to play 22

White	109
Blue	92
Position ID: s3MSGATtbAYLAA Match ID: cAnpAAAAKAAA

• Blue moves 8/4*(2)

#		Ply	Move	MWC
	1	R	14/12 6/4*(2) 3/1	91.539%
			0.8468 0.2802 0.0060 - 0.1532 0.0240 0.0007 91.530% 91.539% 0.0027 0.0050 0.0015 - 0.0027 0.0015 0.0002 0.036% 0.051%
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			674 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1061603198 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	8/4*(2)	90.357% ( -1.181%)
			0.7626 0.3843 0.0132 - 0.2374 0.0912 0.0021 91.027% 90.357% 0.0020 0.0053 0.0025 - 0.0020 0.0014 0.0001 0.042% 0.054%
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			674 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1061603198 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• BK's forever
  Keene -- Wednesday, 6 June 2007, at 10:32 p.m.
  • BK's forever
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 7 June 2007, at 3:00 a.m.
    • BK's forever
      Marty Storer -- Thursday, 7 June 2007, at 12:02 p.m.
  • BK's forever
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 7 June 2007, at 4:57 p.m.
  • BK's forever
    garyo -- Thursday, 7 June 2007, at 5:51 p.m.
  • BK's forever
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 7 June 2007, at 10:52 p.m.
    • BK's forever
      Marty Storer -- Friday, 8 June 2007, at 2:00 p.m.
      • BK's forever
        neilkaz -- Friday, 8 June 2007, at 4:30 p.m.
        • BK's forever
          Marty Storer -- Friday, 8 June 2007, at 5:04 p.m.
  • BK's forever - ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Monday, 11 June 2007, at 1:52 p.m.
    • BK's forever - ROLLOUT
      Stick -- Monday, 11 June 2007, at 1:57 p.m.
    • BK's forever - ROLLOUT
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 11 June 2007, at 3:04 p.m.
      • BK's forever - ROLLOUT
        Maik Stiebler -- Monday, 11 June 2007, at 4:00 p.m.
        • BK's forever - ROLLOUT
          Keene -- Monday, 11 June 2007, at 5:19 p.m.
          • BK's forever - ROLLOUT
            Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 12 June 2007, at 9:23 a.m.
    • Bubble bursting cubeful rollout
      Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 11 June 2007, at 5:40 p.m.
      • Bubble bursting cubeful rollout
        Keene -- Monday, 11 June 2007, at 6:40 p.m.
        • There's always a bright side
          Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 11 June 2007, at 6:48 p.m.
          • There's always a bright side
            Keene -- Monday, 11 June 2007, at 8:12 p.m.