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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 15 June 2007, at 3:42 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Thurs. June 4th (Stick)

Since we have at least 90% for the proper play..

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 6 (match to 15 points)

Move number 4: user to play 46


2O ' ' ' '5X '5X ' ' '3O

 '2X2O1O2O2O2O '1O ' '3X

Pip counts: gnubg 155, user 142
Position ID: 4PPBARisbcIBMA Match ID: cAn6AQAAMAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5009(Money: +0.5077)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.7021 
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.2979
3.Double, take +0.6271 -0.0750
Proper cube action:No double, take (20.1%)
Rollout details
 WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.68080.20750.0102-0.31920.06850.0031 +0.5009 +0.7021
Standard error0.00130.00190.0005-0.00130.00100.0003 0.0036 0.0093
Player gnubg owns 2-cube0.68240.20770.0112-0.31760.06760.0026 +1.0074 +0.6271
Standard error0.00170.00260.0008-0.00170.00110.0007 0.0096 0.0137
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1214 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062912332 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 R 24/14 +0.5582
 
0.64360.20680.0120-0.35640.09060.0044 +0.3931 +0.5582
0.00180.00230.0009-0.00180.00140.0006 0.0048 0.0138
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1152 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062912332 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 R 24/18 13/9 +0.4963 ( -0.0620)
 
0.63000.20090.0113-0.37000.10030.0045 +0.3514 +0.4963
0.00180.00240.0011-0.00180.00140.0003 0.0047 0.0119
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1152 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062912332 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 R 13/7 9/5 +0.4514 ( -0.1068)
 
0.61890.21600.0122-0.38110.09470.0047 +0.3467 +0.4514
0.00170.00240.0008-0.00170.00150.0003 0.0047 0.0126
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1153 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062912332 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 4 24/18 9/5 +0.4733 ( -0.0850)
  0.6328 0.2079 0.0099 - 0.3672 0.1038 0.0037  
  5 4 13/9 13/7 +0.4586 ( -0.0997)
  0.6210 0.2190 0.0106 - 0.3790 0.0978 0.0042  

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