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Snowie Rollouts

Posted By: Peter G.
Date: Monday, 18 June 2007, at 7:49 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Fri. June 15th (Stick)

Money session. Score X-O: 0-0

Pipcount X: 127 O: 157 X-O: 0-0/Money (1)

CubeValue: 2, O owns Cube

1. R 24/15 Eq.: 0.720

0.8% 17.0% 81.8% 18.2% 2.6% 0.1%

95% confidence interval:

- money cubeless eq.: 0.786 ±0.005.

Rollout settings:

Full rollout,

3592 games (equiv. 114062 games),

played 2-ply (precise),

random seed, with race database.

2. R 24/18 14/11 Eq.: 0.715 (-0.005)

0.7% 17.1% 81.3% 18.7% 2.1% 0.1%

95% confidence interval:

- money cubeless eq.: 0.783 ±0.005.

Rollout settings:

Full rollout,

3598 games (equiv. 125681 games),

played 2-ply (precise),

random seed, with race database.

3. R 14/8 13/10 Eq.: 0.703 (-0.017)

1.3% 23.3% 78.8% 21.2% 4.0% 0.1%

95% confidence interval:

- money cubeless eq.: 0.780 ±0.008.

Rollout settings:

Full rollout,

2579 games (equiv. 69768 games),

played 2-ply (precise),

random seed, with race database.

4. R 24/18 13/10 Eq.: 0.696 (-0.023)

1.1% 19.5% 80.0% 20.0% 3.5% 0.2%

95% confidence interval:

- money cubeless eq.: 0.769 ±0.007.

Rollout settings:

Full rollout,

2592 games (equiv. 83561 games),

played 2-ply (precise),

random seed, with race database.

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