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Rollout: Two "firing squad" decisions

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 29 June 2010, at 4:08 a.m.

In Response To: Two "firing squad" decisions (Timothy Chow)

OTB, I ran in both positions. As Stick said, this was probably the right practical decision, given that I wasn't completely sure what was going on. However, the rollout slightly prefers 7/1 2/1 in the first position.


gnubg132


 ' '1O2X2X3X '2X ' '2X2O

 '2O '2O2O3O1O2O2X ' '2X

tchow111

Position ID: 2M6YMQBmuwYDCA Match ID: QQkHAGAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 7/1 2/1 -0.223
0.4640.1640.002-0.5360.0870.003 +0.003 -0.223
0.0020.0030.000-0.0020.0010.000 0.004 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 892393188 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 8/7 8/2 -0.232 ( -0.010)
0.4660.1460.002-0.5340.0840.003 -0.007 -0.232
0.0020.0030.000-0.0020.0010.000 0.004 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 892393188 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 22/16 8/7 -0.246 ( -0.023)
0.4810.0810.002-0.5190.0670.002 -0.025 -0.246
0.0010.0020.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 892393188 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 8/1 -0.248 ( -0.025)
0.4610.1520.002-0.5390.0870.004 -0.015 -0.248
0.0020.0030.000-0.0020.0010.000 0.004 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 892393188 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 7/1 6/5 -0.270 ( -0.047)
0.4460.1730.003-0.5540.0990.004 -0.036 -0.270
0.0020.0030.000-0.0020.0020.000 0.004 0.007
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 892393188 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]


gnubg124


 ' ' '2X3X3X '2X1X ' '2O

 '2O '2O2O3O2O1O2X ' '2X

tchow113

Position ID: 2J2FMQBmuwUDQA Match ID: QYkRAGAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R bar/18 -0.397
 
0.4190.1130.003-0.5810.0900.003 -0.139 -0.397
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.005
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 889825747 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 R bar/22 7/3 -0.478 ( -0.081)
 
0.3880.1060.002-0.6120.1040.004 -0.224 -0.478
0.0010.0020.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.005
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 889825747 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 R bar/22 8/4 -0.503 ( -0.105)
 
0.3830.0960.002-0.6170.0970.003 -0.235 -0.503
0.0010.0020.000-0.0010.0020.000 0.003 0.005
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 889825747 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

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