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Rollout 2-ply

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Sunday, 24 June 2007, at 11:13 a.m.

In Response To: Crawford backgame - part 4 (Ian Dunstan)

The score is: Mradica 2, The Dice Man 8 (match to 9 points, Crawford game)

Move: The Dice Man to play 51

Mradica146


 '1O '2X2X3X2X2X '1X ' '

2X2O1X3O3O2O2O1O ' '1O '

The Dice Man99

Position ID: 2G4TADLmbosAEA Match ID: 8IkmASAAQAAA

• The Dice Man moves 23/22 8/3*

Seems to be a bit better to try escaping now (~2.4 jsd's).

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 23/22 8/3* +0.1109
56.13% 34.63% 17.86%- 43.87% 8.26% 0.33% +0.1109
0.45% 0.99% 1.25%- 0.45% 0.38% 0.09% 0.0091
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.
432 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062692645 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeless prune
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune
2 R 8/3* 4/3 +0.0830 ( -0.0279)
54.46% 33.42% 16.50%- 45.54% 4.65% 0.16% +0.0830
0.38% 0.93% 1.20%- 0.38% 0.35% 0.04% 0.0077
Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.
432 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062692645 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeless prune
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune

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