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RO

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Tuesday, 3 July 2007, at 12:45 a.m.

In Response To: 4th roll position (Chuck Bower)

Stick, what's the chances that this can be overturned with a longer rollout? Technically TCTC, but could the hitting play results be correlated? (If not, that bodes poorly for 13/8 overturning both of them.)

The score (after 3 games) is: JellyFish 2, Player2 2 (match to 13 points)

Move number 4: Player2 to play 41

Pip counts: JellyFish 155, Player2 159
Position ID: 4POYASKMZ/ABMA Match ID: cAmmASAAEAAA

• Player2 moves 24/23 8/4*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.0192	(Money: +0.0194)
	0.4994 0.1645 0.0056 - 0.5006 0.1410 0.0085
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.0271
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.9729
3.	Double, take	-0.3101	-0.3372
Proper cube action:		No double, take (25.7%)

 

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.012)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	8/4*/3	-0.1339
			0.4605 0.1533 0.0063 - 0.5395 0.1551 0.0086 -0.0834 -0.1339 0.0011 0.0013 0.0005 - 0.0011 0.0013 0.0004 0.0031 0.0080
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2379 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062991 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	24/23 8/4*	-0.1457 ( -0.0118)
			0.4677 0.1456 0.0064 - 0.5323 0.1801 0.0131 -0.1068 -0.1457 0.0014 0.0013 0.0004 - 0.0014 0.0015 0.0007 0.0040 0.0096
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2379 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062991 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/8	-0.1497 ( -0.0158)
			0.4624 0.1339 0.0054 - 0.5376 0.1506 0.0075 -0.0948 -0.1497 0.0012 0.0012 0.0008 - 0.0012 0.0013 0.0004 0.0033 0.0079
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2380 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062991 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	6/1*	-0.1526 ( -0.0188)
			0.4594 0.1379 0.0041 - 0.5406 0.1594 0.0079
	5	2	24/23 24/20	-0.1913 ( -0.0574)
			0.4560 0.1138 0.0035 - 0.5440 0.1594 0.0059

Messages In This Thread

• 4th roll position
  Chuck Bower -- Monday, 2 July 2007, at 12:00 a.m.
  • 4th roll position
    Achim -- Monday, 2 July 2007, at 3:26 a.m.
    • 4th roll position
      Achim -- Monday, 2 July 2007, at 8:52 a.m.
      • 4th roll position
        Stick -- Monday, 2 July 2007, at 8:58 a.m.
  • 4th roll position
    Ian Dunstan -- Monday, 2 July 2007, at 3:37 a.m.
  • 4th roll position
    Stick -- Monday, 2 July 2007, at 7:27 a.m.
  • 4th roll position
    Chase -- Monday, 2 July 2007, at 8:42 a.m.
  • 4th roll position
    Misja -- Monday, 2 July 2007, at 10:22 a.m.
  • 4th roll position
    Mislav Radica -- Monday, 2 July 2007, at 12:05 p.m.
  • I'll post RO tonight
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 2 July 2007, at 4:31 p.m.
    • I'll post RO tonight
      Stick -- Monday, 2 July 2007, at 4:32 p.m.
    • OK then
      neilkaz -- Monday, 2 July 2007, at 5:16 p.m.
  • RO
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 3 July 2007, at 12:45 a.m.
    • RO
      Stick -- Tuesday, 3 July 2007, at 1:30 a.m.
      • RO
        Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 3 July 2007, at 2:08 p.m.