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Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: What's 7 blots among friends? (Stick)
Date: Tuesday, 3 July 2007, at 1:42 p.m.
I was mildly surprised to say the least after analysing one of my Snowie sessions that it tried to ding me on this play. The little punk (SW4) plays the double hit on 3 ply. When I think a play is too loose you know there's problems. I also rolled this out with Snowie to make sure it & GNU were playing things accorrdingly and it found the same answer, double hit = whopper. 20/17 is mandatory here, after that it's a decision of to hit or to slot. Slotting leaves 14 shots and takes no initiative, I prefered hitting the outfield blot and putting some real pressure on White to perform or feel the wrath of me making the 5 pt. There are return shots of course but now you don't have 7 blots lying around and they're all indirects. [I didn't bother to count them]
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, kuntvomitt 0
Move number 5: kuntvomitt to play 23
gnubg 145
kuntvomitt 169 Position ID: bG7gCCHgmc0QIQ Match ID: UQkNAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 20/17 11/9* -0.1368
0.4247 0.0986 0.0048 - 0.5753 0.2616 0.0156 -0.3244 -0.1368 0.0025 0.0018 0.0005 - 0.0025 0.0028 0.0012 0.0070 0.0110 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1161 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1068439530 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 20/17 6/4 -0.1836 ( -0.0468)
0.4110 0.0916 0.0043 - 0.5890 0.2627 0.0113 -0.3560 -0.1836 0.0028 0.0018 0.0004 - 0.0028 0.0031 0.0014 0.0081 0.0112 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1161 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1068439530 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 3 R 11/9* 8/5* -0.2161 ( -0.0793)
0.4207 0.1115 0.0080 - 0.5793 0.3153 0.0534 -0.4078 -0.2161 0.0033 0.0019 0.0007 - 0.0033 0.0033 0.0050 0.0119 0.0158 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1160 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1068439530 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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