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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 10 July 2007, at 11:22 a.m.

In Response To: Michigan, Neil v. Matt(?) (Stick)

OTB Neil hit. As a bystander I hit, I thought the freak gammons that occur were far outweighed by the actual wins Neil gets from hitting. It seems it is correct to play like a little girl by the tiniest amount. The race is closer than I'd thought (I didn't have a chance to count OTB because Neil made his play rather quickly and even if I did, I still think I would have hit) and Neil will still have a chance to hit a shot while bringing his last checker around. Lose over 7% gammons with the hitting play, seems like a lot...

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 3, user 7 (match to 9 points)

Move number 5: user to play 16

gnubg	61
user	70
Position ID: 73sAAgh3XhMAAg Match ID: UYk4ATAAOAAA

• user moves 20/14 4/3*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	8/2 5/4	+0.0916
			0.5465 0.0198 0.0001 - 0.4535 0.0014 0.0000 +0.0916 +0.1061 0.0005 0.0012 0.0000 - 0.0005 0.0001 0.0000 0.0010 0.0010
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069252318 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	20/14 4/3*	+0.0848 ( -0.0068)
			0.5837 0.0882 0.0023 - 0.4163 0.0736 0.0006 +0.0848 +0.0995 0.0005 0.0027 0.0005 - 0.0005 0.0006 0.0001 0.0011 0.0011
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069252318 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Michigan, Neil v. Matt(?)
  Stick -- Monday, 9 July 2007, at 5:20 a.m.
  • Michigan, Neil v. Matt(?)
    garyo -- Monday, 9 July 2007, at 6:42 a.m.
  • Michigan, Neil v. Matt(?)
    Peter G. -- Monday, 9 July 2007, at 7:02 a.m.
  • Michigan, Neil v. Matt(?)
    Mislav Radica -- Monday, 9 July 2007, at 10:46 a.m.
  • Just to clarify: Matt Reklaitis (not Matt C-G) *NM*
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 9 July 2007, at 1:51 p.m.
  • Michigan, Neil v. Matt(?)
    Misja -- Tuesday, 10 July 2007, at 9:47 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 10 July 2007, at 11:22 a.m.
    • Rollout
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 10 July 2007, at 2:30 p.m.