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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Novi Doubles double action (Stick)
Date: Thursday, 19 July 2007, at 5:15 a.m.
Once we counted up the pips we couldn't stand not doubling and I'd still cube this. It's very close and we didn't get a *snatch & grab* from the opponent's so the mere 2% chance of dropping was a definite.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 3, user 2 (match to 7 points)
gnubg 160
user 112 Position ID: 2G5ggAeDrw0HAA Match ID: cInwADAAEAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5023 (Money: +0.4800) Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.7893 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.2107 3. Double, take +0.7838 -0.0055 Proper cube action: No double, take (2.5%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7042 0.1178 0.0019 - 0.2958 0.0450 0.0032 +0.5023 +0.7893 Standard error 0.0012 0.0014 0.0005 - 0.0012 0.0014 0.0009 0.0031 0.0073 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.7120 0.1150 0.0017 - 0.2880 0.0464 0.0035 +0.9947 +0.7838 Standard error 0.0013 0.0017 0.0005 - 0.0013 0.0018 0.0009 0.0068 0.0082 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1968 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069019439 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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