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BGonline.org Forums
Which one?
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Which one? (Bryce)
Date: Thursday, 19 July 2007, at 9:26 p.m.
23/14 gives you return shots from the bar if opp jokers 5-3, shots if he enters 5-4 or 5-6, and covers if he enters without hitting or advancing (5-1) and you can't do anything better.
A secondary consideration is fan+33. You don't want to play three of the 3's on the homeside as you must after 24/15. 4-4 plays better after 23/14 as well. Throw in the fact that it's easier to escape from the 24-point than the 23-point. And White's 5-5 joker hits on the 15-point. (Sometimes you want to get hit when opp jokers an big escape double for his last checker. I don't think this is one of those although it might be.)
The only sure thing I can find which favors 24/15 over 23/14 is total shots from the bar for White: 5-3 and 5-2 (four total) after 23/14 vs. 5-3 and 5-5 (three total) after 24/15. I don't see that as enough.
23/14.
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