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Opponent 5 Away

Posted By: Stanley E. Richards
Date: Wednesday, 12 January 2011, at 5:56 a.m.

In Response To: early in the match. Cube actions? (Chuck Bower)

If the opponent is 5 away, one should take this cube.

Stanley

is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 111
7 point match
pip: 122
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=---BC-CABb--bC--a-bb-bbbA-:0:0:-1:00:0:2:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 74.00% (G: 15.29% B: 0.36%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.00% (G: 4.83% B: 0.21%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.28% (G: 16.54% B: 0.45%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.72% (G: 4.67% B: 0.20%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.578
Double:+1.187
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.847 (-0.096)
Double/Take:+0.944
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.056)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: 0.015 (+0.833...+0.862)
Confidence Double: 0.019 (+0.925...+0.962)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 18 minutes 10 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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