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OK, Last one, I promise - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Monday, 23 July 2007, at 2:06 p.m.

In Response To: OK, Last one, I promise (Keene)

The score (after 6 games) is: DLSall 6, kilted 3 (match to 7 points, post-Crawford play)

Move number 3: kilted on roll, cube decision?

DLSall	162
kilted	160
Position ID: 0HPhATDgc8UBMA Match ID: cAngAGAAGAAA

• kilted doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.275	(Money: +0.097)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.000
2.	Double, take	+1.212	+0.212
3.	No double	+0.966	-0.034
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.527 0.177 0.016 - 0.473 0.140 0.010 +0.275 +0.966 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.004 0.002 0.006 0.007 Player DLSall owns 2-cube 0.548 0.164 0.056 - 0.452 0.161 0.030 +1.212 +1.212 Standard error 0.004 0.004 0.008 - 0.004 0.011 0.005 0.018 0.018
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
458 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1066041798 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Small pass, nothing that significant really. I was pleasantly surprised to see a take here.

Keene

Messages In This Thread

• OK, Last one, I promise
  Keene -- Friday, 20 July 2007, at 4:07 p.m.
  • OK, Last one, I promise
    Stick -- Friday, 20 July 2007, at 4:20 p.m.
  • OK, Last one, I promise
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 20 July 2007, at 5:03 p.m.
    • OK, Last one, I promise
      Matt Reklaitis -- Friday, 20 July 2007, at 6:53 p.m.
      • OK, Last one, I promise
        Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 24 July 2007, at 4:53 p.m.
  • OK, Last one, I promise
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 20 July 2007, at 7:08 p.m.
  • OK, Last one, I promise
    Mislav Radica -- Sunday, 22 July 2007, at 1:15 p.m.
  • OK, Last one, I promise - ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Monday, 23 July 2007, at 2:06 p.m.
    • OK, Last one, I promise - ROLLOUT
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 23 July 2007, at 2:43 p.m.
    • OK, Last one, I promise - ROLLOUT
      Stick -- Monday, 23 July 2007, at 4:19 p.m.
      • OK, Last one, I promise - ROLLOUT
        Keene -- Monday, 23 July 2007, at 4:34 p.m.