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One more cube.. ROLLOUT
Posted By: Keene In Response To: One more cube.. (Keene)
Date: Monday, 23 July 2007, at 2:07 p.m.
The score (after 4 games) is: DLSall 4, kilted 2 (match to 7 points)
Move number 18: DLSall to play 63
DLSall 132
kilted 122 Position ID: Gz7BCSBktw0BAw Match ID: MAHvAEAAEAAA
• DLSall moves 13/10* 9/3
Alert: missed double ( -0.055)! [bad]
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.713 (Money: +0.722) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.000 2. Double, take +1.170 +0.170 3. No double +0.945 -0.055 Proper cube action: Double, pass Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.756 0.263 0.006 - 0.244 0.054 0.005 +0.713 +0.945 Standard error 0.004 0.016 0.005 - 0.004 0.002 0.004 0.011 0.026 Player kilted owns 2-cube 0.762 0.260 0.035 - 0.238 0.047 0.011 +1.520 +1.170 Standard error 0.005 0.010 0.008 - 0.005 0.003 0.007 0.026 0.035 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 144 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1066041798 and quasi-random dice Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 1.96 (min. 144 games) Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
# Ply Move Equity • 1 2 13/10* 9/3 +1.110 0.824 0.346 0.016 - 0.176 0.038 0.001 2 2 20/17* 9/3 +0.903 ( -0.207) 0.754 0.345 0.023 - 0.246 0.094 0.004 3 0 13/7 6/3 +0.946 ( -0.165) 0.765 0.257 0.009 - 0.235 0.040 0.000 4 0 13/10*/4 +0.878 ( -0.232) 0.752 0.266 0.014 - 0.248 0.081 0.001 5 0 20/17*/11 +0.806 ( -0.304) 0.739 0.268 0.017 - 0.261 0.108 0.003 *sigh*. He didnt cube me, and played on. Was painful.
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