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One more cube.. ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Monday, 23 July 2007, at 2:07 p.m.

In Response To: One more cube.. (Keene)

The score (after 4 games) is: DLSall 4, kilted 2 (match to 7 points)

Move number 18: DLSall to play 63

DLSall132


1O '1X '2X3X2X2X2X1O '3O

2O2O ' '2X5O '1O ' ' '1X

kilted122

Position ID: Gz7BCSBktw0BAw Match ID: MAHvAEAAEAAA

• DLSall moves 13/10* 9/3

Alert: missed double ( -0.055)! [bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.713(Money: +0.722)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.000
2.Double, take +1.170 +0.170
3.No double +0.945 -0.055
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.7560.2630.006-0.2440.0540.005 +0.713 +0.945
Standard error0.0040.0160.005-0.0040.0020.004 0.011 0.026
Player kilted owns 2-cube0.7620.2600.035-0.2380.0470.011 +1.520 +1.170
Standard error0.0050.0100.008-0.0050.0030.007 0.026 0.035
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
144 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1066041798 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 1.96 (min. 144 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 13/10* 9/3 +1.110
0.824 0.346 0.016 - 0.176 0.038 0.001
2 2 20/17* 9/3 +0.903 ( -0.207)
0.754 0.345 0.023 - 0.246 0.094 0.004
3 0 13/7 6/3 +0.946 ( -0.165)
0.765 0.257 0.009 - 0.235 0.040 0.000
4 0 13/10*/4 +0.878 ( -0.232)
0.752 0.266 0.014 - 0.248 0.081 0.001
5 0 20/17*/11 +0.806 ( -0.304)
0.739 0.268 0.017 - 0.261 0.108 0.003

*sigh*. He didnt cube me, and played on. Was painful.

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