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Cube this one? - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Monday, 23 July 2007, at 3:05 p.m.

In Response To: Cube this one? (Keene)

The score (after 0 games) is: MtManPonjab 0, kilted 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 24: kilted on roll, cube decision?

MtManPonjab	147
kilted	112
Position ID: mG8DcEBmmwcDAg Match ID: cAngAAAAAAAA

• kilted doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.025)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.817	(Money: +0.806)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+1.025
2.	Double, take	+1.467	+0.441
3.	Double, pass	+1.000	-0.025
Proper cube action:		Too good to double, pass (5.4%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.774 0.293 0.004 - 0.226 0.039 0.001 +0.817 +1.025 Standard error 0.004 0.006 0.001 - 0.004 0.003 0.000 0.009 0.019 Player MtManPonjab owns 2-cube 0.775 0.291 0.002 - 0.225 0.033 0.003 +1.682 +1.467 Standard error 0.006 0.009 0.001 - 0.006 0.004 0.001 0.026 0.038
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
144 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1066331986 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 1.96 (min. 144 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

jsd's climbed through the roof early on this rollout, so a fairly conclusive TG & Pass.

Messages In This Thread

• Cube this one?
  Keene -- Friday, 20 July 2007, at 3:52 p.m.
  • Cube this one?
    Stick -- Friday, 20 July 2007, at 4:15 p.m.
    • Cube this one?
      garyo -- Friday, 20 July 2007, at 4:46 p.m.
      • Cube this one?
        Stick -- Friday, 20 July 2007, at 4:52 p.m.
        • Cube this one?
          Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 24 July 2007, at 4:31 p.m.
  • Cube this one?
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 20 July 2007, at 4:30 p.m.
  • Cube this one?
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 20 July 2007, at 6:45 p.m.
  • Cube this one?
    Mislav Radica -- Saturday, 21 July 2007, at 6:29 p.m.
    • Cube this one?
      Mislav Radica -- Saturday, 21 July 2007, at 6:43 p.m.
  • Cube this one? - ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Monday, 23 July 2007, at 3:05 p.m.
    • Cube this one? - ROLLOUT
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 23 July 2007, at 4:23 p.m.
      • Cube this one? - ROLLOUT
        Keene -- Tuesday, 24 July 2007, at 9:36 p.m.