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Rare events

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Friday, 27 July 2007, at 7:14 p.m.

In Response To: Next time you're feeling down (Stick)

Last night on FXSP poker (Superstars, I think this was an old telecast from a couple years ago), Skansky was dealt pocket rockets five times. I don't know how long those sessions really last (TV show is an hour with a LOT of commercials). Michael Konik said (if I remember correctly) that this was as rare as winning the state lottery.

Anyone want to take a stab at calculating the probability that one player in a six handed (max) game would get dealt AA at HE five times in N hands? (First we need an estimate for N, of course. Anyone have a good number for that?)

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