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DMP 21 play - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Friday, 27 July 2007, at 7:46 p.m.

In Response To: DMP 21 play (Keene)

Some fairly sizeable errors there for those that like hitting and making the 2pt. Although, my choice of step up at the back and make the 5pt is still 0.04 back.

Lesson: The 5pt is always the 5pt. Lesson: The mid point needs to be unstacked sometime.

The score (after 4 games) is: GGotter 4, kilted 4 (match to 5 points, post-Crawford play)

Move number 8: kilted on roll, cube decision?

GGotter	181
kilted	141
Position ID: 4DP4ADKiz+ADEA Match ID: cAmgAEAAIAAA

• kilted moves 23/21 6/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	13/11 6/5	+0.228
			0.614 0.359 0.114 - 0.386 0.118 0.018 +0.228 +0.228 0.005 0.010 0.009 - 0.005 0.007 0.003 0.010 0.010
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			946 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1065527396 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	23/21 6/5	+0.190 ( -0.038)
			0.595 0.332 0.103 - 0.405 0.117 0.014 +0.190 +0.190 0.005 0.009 0.008 - 0.005 0.007 0.004 0.009 0.009
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			946 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1065527396 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	6/4 5/4	+0.162 ( -0.065)
			0.581 0.307 0.078 - 0.419 0.130 0.019 +0.162 +0.162 0.004 0.008 0.007 - 0.004 0.006 0.003 0.008 0.008
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			945 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1065527396 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	5/3*/2	+0.152 ( -0.076)
			0.576 0.354 0.111 - 0.424 0.111 0.014 +0.152 +0.152 0.003 0.008 0.007 - 0.003 0.006 0.004 0.006 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			945 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1065527396 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	6/5 6/4	+0.213 ( -0.014)
			0.607 0.200 0.012 - 0.393 0.101 0.003

Messages In This Thread

• DMP 21 play
  Keene -- Thursday, 26 July 2007, at 10:29 p.m.
  • DMP 21 play
    Havard Raddum -- Friday, 27 July 2007, at 12:27 a.m.
  • DMP 21 play
    Dave -- Friday, 27 July 2007, at 12:36 a.m.
  • DMP 21 play
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 27 July 2007, at 12:48 a.m.
  • DMP 21 play
    garyo -- Friday, 27 July 2007, at 5:53 a.m.
  • DMP 21 play
    Caryl Stephanson -- Friday, 27 July 2007, at 2:56 p.m.
  • DMP 21 play
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 27 July 2007, at 3:56 p.m.
    • DMP 21 play
      Keene -- Friday, 27 July 2007, at 4:29 p.m.
      • DMP 21 play - ROLLOUT
        Keene -- Friday, 27 July 2007, at 7:46 p.m.
        • DMP 21 play - ROLLOUT
          Stick -- Friday, 27 July 2007, at 7:59 p.m.