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BGonline.org Forums
Check my math, please
Posted By: Achim In Response To: Check my math, please (Chuck Bower)
Date: Friday, 27 July 2007, at 10:42 p.m.
This should be a binominal distribution (independent Bernoulli trials):
p(k)= [n!/k!*(n-k)!] * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
and the result times the average number of players
A bit diffikult to show the correct mathematical term with html and too late for calculating it now ;-).
n=100 (trials)
k=5 (AA)
(n-k)=95
n!=100*99*98*...*3*2*1
k!=120
p=1/221
(1-p)=220/221
Ciao
Achim
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