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Rollout at -4-4

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 28 July 2007, at 5:20 p.m.

In Response To: Bonus question: (neilkaz)

This seems to be a pass, as it is a bad time to be G'd. There's loads of recube vig when the opp TP is 31.8% (g11) but there's no G threat in the recube so some of this recube vig is mitigated in position with this much contact. The other issue is that the g11 TP at -4-4 is 28.5% and that combined with G's is pushing this into pass territory.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 1, user 1 (match to 5 points)

Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?


 ' ' '2X2O4X '3X ' ' '3O

2X ' ' '2O4O '2O2O ' '4X

Pip counts: gnubg 156, user 147
Position ID: mOfgATCwZ8MBAw Match ID: cAmgABAACAAA

• user doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5764(Money: +0.5005)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.1012 +0.1012
3.No double +0.8885 -0.1115
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.67630.20210.0104-0.32370.06180.0027 +0.5764 +0.8885
Standard error0.00230.00390.0017-0.00230.00250.0013 0.0070 0.0192
Player gnubg owns 2-cube0.69040.20030.0266-0.30960.07270.0025 +1.5628 +1.1012
Standard error0.00380.00460.0050-0.00380.00560.0006 0.0271 0.0331
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
337 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1065413986 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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