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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout at -4-4
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: Bonus question: (neilkaz)
Date: Saturday, 28 July 2007, at 5:20 p.m.
This seems to be a pass, as it is a bad time to be G'd. There's loads of recube vig when the opp TP is 31.8% (g11) but there's no G threat in the recube so some of this recube vig is mitigated in position with this much contact. The other issue is that the g11 TP at -4-4 is 28.5% and that combined with G's is pushing this into pass territory.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 1, user 1 (match to 5 points)
Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?
Pip counts: gnubg 156, user 147
Position ID: mOfgATCwZ8MBAw Match ID: cAmgABAACAAA
• user doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5764 (Money: +0.5005) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.0000 2. Double, take +1.1012 +0.1012 3. No double +0.8885 -0.1115 Proper cube action: Double, pass Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6763 0.2021 0.0104 - 0.3237 0.0618 0.0027 +0.5764 +0.8885 Standard error 0.0023 0.0039 0.0017 - 0.0023 0.0025 0.0013 0.0070 0.0192 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.6904 0.2003 0.0266 - 0.3096 0.0727 0.0025 +1.5628 +1.1012 Standard error 0.0038 0.0046 0.0050 - 0.0038 0.0056 0.0006 0.0271 0.0331 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 337 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1065413986 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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