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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout at -4-4
Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier In Response To: Rollout at -4-4 (neilkaz)
Date: Saturday, 28 July 2007, at 8:19 p.m.
This one surprised me. Not so surprised by the -3,-5 one. I guess my play at -4, -4 needs some work :)
In general I haven't been scared of cubes like these. Of course it's always bad to be gammoned in a short match, but the recube kills both sides' gammons. Plugging some numbers into GNU's market window: cubeless TP of 28.5%, but a fully live TP of 19%. When Blue wins 20% gammons to White's 5%, White has a cubeless TP of 38.5%, but a fully live TP of 27%. He's well above the fully live TP here since he still wins this 31.5% of the time. I would figure that this early in the game (borderline D/ND for money), White has plenty of recube potential somewhere down the line.
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