[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 16 March 2011, at 6:07 a.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 3/15/11 (Stick)

Number 1

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 135
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=---bBBC-C---bC--bdBe------:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
to play 63

1.Rollout113/7 8/5eq: +0.553
Player:
Opponent:
64.26% (G:13.55% B:0.42%)
35.74% (G:6.07% B:0.24%)
Conf: ± 0.020 (+0.533...+0.573)
Duration: 10 minutes 38 seconds
2.Rollout113/4eq: +0.529 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
64.33% (G:11.28% B:0.49%)
35.67% (G:5.89% B:0.22%)
Conf: ± 0.016 (+0.513...+0.545)
Duration: 9 minutes 25 seconds
3.Rollout118/9eq: +0.506 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
63.24% (G:14.17% B:0.57%)
36.76% (G:7.14% B:0.27%)
Conf: ± 0.020 (+0.486...+0.526)
Duration: 11 minutes 50 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21140344
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply


Number 2

- Everyone got this wrong. Some properly surmised paying now is correct the just didn't have the correct currency. If you don't pay now ... sick sick sick.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 127
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 106
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-B--CBCbA---cB-B-aacabb---:1:-1:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
to play 65

1.XG Roller+15/10 15/9eq: +0.032
Player:
Opponent:
58.69% (G:6.80% B:0.26%)
41.31% (G:9.37% B:0.50%)
2.XG Roller+8/2 6/1eq: -0.138 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:
52.19% (G:4.80% B:0.09%)
47.81% (G:8.98% B:0.26%)
3.XG Roller+15/10 8/2eq: -0.150 (-0.181)
Player:
Opponent:
50.27% (G:10.57% B:0.35%)
49.73% (G:11.27% B:0.40%)


Number 3

- Both 3 ply and XGR+ got this wrong.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 143
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 127
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b---BD-DA--cD--aa-cc-b---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 75.11% (G: 12.05% B: 0.46%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.89% (G: 3.42% B: 0.06%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.12% (G: 11.11% B: 0.51%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.88% (G: 3.09% B: 0.07%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.502
Double:+1.214
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.942 (-0.058)
Double/Take:+1.056 (+0.056)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21140344
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.014 (+0.928...+0.957)
Confidence Double: ± 0.024 (+1.032...+1.079)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 6 minutes 14 seconds


Number 4

- 3 ply thought this was almost a .2 double blunder with cheese and XGR+ didn't cube either.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 104
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 78
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-BBBCCb------C---bbcb-b-b-:2:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 69.74% (G: 2.37% B: 0.06%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.26% (G: 3.16% B: 0.07%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70.06% (G: 2.46% B: 0.07%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.94% (G: 3.01% B: 0.06%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.387
Redouble:+0.792
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.625 (-0.006)
Redouble/Take:+0.631
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.369)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21140344
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.009 (+0.616...+0.634)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.017 (+0.613...+0.648)
Double Decision confidence: 72.2%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 3 minutes 09 seconds


Number 5

- Nobody really got this right either.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 152
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-a-a--E-E---bC-b-d-cAb-A--:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
to play 53

1.Rollout123/20 13/8eq: -0.066
Player:
Opponent:
47.75% (G:8.75% B:0.22%)
52.25% (G:7.29% B:0.33%)
Conf: ± 0.018 (-0.084...-0.048)
Duration: 9 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout18/3* 6/3eq: -0.118 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:
47.08% (G:14.10% B:0.76%)
52.92% (G:15.05% B:0.59%)
Conf: ± 0.025 (-0.143...-0.093)
Duration: 9 minutes 37 seconds
1 972 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21140344
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.