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Rollouts
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Daily Quiz 3/15/11 (Stick)
Date: Wednesday, 16 March 2011, at 6:07 a.m.
Number 1
is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 150Money session
Jacoby Beaverpip: 135
score: 0
is Player 1XGID=---bBBC-C---bC--bdBe------:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10 to play 63
1. Rollout1 13/7 8/5 eq: +0.553
Player:
Opponent:64.26% (G:13.55% B:0.42%)
35.74% (G:6.07% B:0.24%)Conf: ± 0.020 (+0.533...+0.573)
Duration: 10 minutes 38 seconds2. Rollout1 13/4 eq: +0.529 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:64.33% (G:11.28% B:0.49%)
35.67% (G:5.89% B:0.22%)Conf: ± 0.016 (+0.513...+0.545)
Duration: 9 minutes 25 seconds3. Rollout1 18/9 eq: +0.506 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:63.24% (G:14.17% B:0.57%)
36.76% (G:7.14% B:0.27%)Conf: ± 0.020 (+0.486...+0.526)
Duration: 11 minutes 50 seconds1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21140344
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Number 2
- Everyone got this wrong. Some properly surmised paying now is correct the just didn't have the correct currency. If you don't pay now ... sick sick sick.
is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 127Money session
Jacoby Beaverpip: 106
score: 0
is Player 1XGID=-B--CBCbA---cB-B-aacabb---:1:-1:1:65:0:0:3:0:10 to play 65
1. XG Roller+ 15/10 15/9 eq: +0.032
Player:
Opponent:58.69% (G:6.80% B:0.26%)
41.31% (G:9.37% B:0.50%)2. XG Roller+ 8/2 6/1 eq: -0.138 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:52.19% (G:4.80% B:0.09%)
47.81% (G:8.98% B:0.26%)3. XG Roller+ 15/10 8/2 eq: -0.150 (-0.181)
Player:
Opponent:50.27% (G:10.57% B:0.35%)
49.73% (G:11.27% B:0.40%)
Number 3
- Both 3 ply and XGR+ got this wrong.
is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 143Money session
Jacoby Beaverpip: 127
score: 0
is Player 1XGID=-b---BD-DA--cD--aa-cc-b---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No Double Player Winning Chances: 75.11% (G: 12.05% B: 0.46%) Opponent Winning Chances: 24.89% (G: 3.42% B: 0.06%) Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 76.12% (G: 11.11% B: 0.51%) Opponent Winning Chances: 23.88% (G: 3.09% B: 0.07%) Cubeless Equities No Double: +0.502 Double: +1.214 Cubeful Equities No Double: +0.942 (-0.058) Double/Take: +1.056 (+0.056) Double/Drop: +1.000 Best Cube action: Double / Drop Rollout details 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21140344
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyConfidence No Double: ± 0.014 (+0.928...+0.957) Confidence Double: ± 0.024 (+1.032...+1.079) Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 6 minutes 14 seconds
Number 4
- 3 ply thought this was almost a .2 double blunder with cheese and XGR+ didn't cube either.
is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 104Money session
Jacoby Beaverpip: 78
score: 0
is Player 1XGID=-BBBCCb------C---bbcb-b-b-:2:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No Double Player Winning Chances: 69.74% (G: 2.37% B: 0.06%) Opponent Winning Chances: 30.26% (G: 3.16% B: 0.07%) Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 70.06% (G: 2.46% B: 0.07%) Opponent Winning Chances: 29.94% (G: 3.01% B: 0.06%) Cubeless Equities No Redouble: +0.387 Redouble: +0.792 Cubeful Equities No Redouble: +0.625 (-0.006) Redouble/Take: +0.631 Redouble/Drop: +1.000 (+0.369) Best Cube action: Redouble / Take Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21140344
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyConfidence No Redouble: ± 0.009 (+0.616...+0.634) Confidence Redouble: ± 0.017 (+0.613...+0.648) Double Decision confidence: 72.2% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 3 minutes 09 seconds
Number 5
- Nobody really got this right either.
is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 150Money session
Jacoby Beaverpip: 152
score: 0
is Player 1XGID=-a-a--E-E---bC-b-d-cAb-A--:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10 to play 53
1. Rollout1 23/20 13/8 eq: -0.066
Player:
Opponent:47.75% (G:8.75% B:0.22%)
52.25% (G:7.29% B:0.33%)Conf: ± 0.018 (-0.084...-0.048)
Duration: 9 minutes 51 seconds2. Rollout1 8/3* 6/3 eq: -0.118 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:47.08% (G:14.10% B:0.76%)
52.92% (G:15.05% B:0.59%)Conf: ± 0.025 (-0.143...-0.093)
Duration: 9 minutes 37 seconds1 972 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21140344
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
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