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my whooper

Posted By: MandM1951
Date: Friday, 3 August 2007, at 2:47 p.m.

Here is a whooper from a match I played this morning. Why is hitting on the 1 right even though I am outboarded and, if not hit, have only 1 direct cover next roll. Thanks.

The score (after 1 game) is: MandM1951 1, jigisup 0 (match to 5 points)

Move number 15: MandM1951 to play 54

MandM1951124


1O2X2X2O '3X '2X '3X ' '

1X '2O2O3O3O '2O ' ' '2X

jigisup129

Position ID: bHcGACM2zhwDIA Match ID: MIGyABAAAAAA

MandM1951 moves 13/8 10/6

Cube decision
0-ply cubeless equity -0.15(Money: -0.17)
46% 8% 0% - 54% 17% 0%
Cubeful equities:
1.No double -0.22
2.Double, pass +1.00 +1.22
3.Double, take -0.89 -0.67
Proper cube action:No double, take (35.3%)

Alert: very bad move ( -0.248)

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.350)

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 10/1* -0.51
40% 9% 0% - 60% 25% 1%
2 0 13/8 10/6 -0.76 ( -0.25)
36% 10% 0% - 64% 26% 1%
3 0 13/9 6/1* -0.90 ( -0.39)
36% 8% 0% - 64% 30% 2%
4 0 13/8 6/2 -0.93 ( -0.41)
34% 9% 0% - 66% 28% 1%
5 0 13/9 13/8 -1.00 ( -0.48)
34% 9% 0% - 66% 30% 1%

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