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RO of takes after fanning with both

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 30 March 2011, at 11:58 a.m.

In Response To: 41$-44x-xxx cube decisions. (Nack Ballard)

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 198
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=bb--B-E-A---dE--Ac-d----A-:0:0:1:D:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64.818% (G:33.201% B:4.690%) 64.675% (G:32.962% B:4.894%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.182% (G:6.055% B:0.293%) 35.325% (G:6.134% B:0.332%)
Cubeless Equities +0.6118 +1.2148
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.8488 (-0.0690)±0.0054 (+0.8434..+0.8541)
Double/Take:+0.9178±0.0079 (+0.9098..+0.9257)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.0822)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
12960 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 37157508
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 hours 06 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.157.alpha

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 203
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=bb----E-CB--eC--Ab-d----A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64.796% (G:32.137% B:4.403%) 64.548% (G:32.848% B:4.754%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.204% (G:5.606% B:0.248%) 35.452% (G:5.682% B:0.275%)
Cubeless Equities +0.6028 +1.2148
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.8460 (-0.0686)±0.0061 (+0.8399..+0.8520)
Double/Take:+0.9146±0.0093 (+0.9054..+0.9239)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.0854)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
12960 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 37157508
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 hours 25 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.157.alpha

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