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Short rollout seems enough

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 10 August 2007, at 5:57 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Fri. Aug. 10th - 1st Vote (Stick)

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 6, ntk 3 (match to 17 points)

Move number 7: ntk to play 25

gnubg147


1O ' '2X '4X1O3X1X ' '4O

2O1X2O '1X3O '2O ' ' '3X

ntk136

Position ID: mOfCAREzzuBBIA Match ID: cAk1AmAAGAAA

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.210(Money: +0.212)
 0.552 0.235 0.009 - 0.448 0.132 0.006
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.338 
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.662
3.Double, take +0.259 -0.078
Proper cube action:No double, take (10.6%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 R 18/16* 13/8 +0.470
 
0.5720.2260.010-0.4280.1060.002 +0.284 +0.470
0.0030.0030.001-0.0030.0040.001 0.008 0.021
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  228 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1066495343 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 R 18/16*/11 +0.393 ( -0.077)
 
0.5690.2210.009-0.4310.1130.004 +0.260 +0.393
0.0040.0040.001-0.0040.0040.000 0.008 0.025
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  227 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1066495343 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 0 24/22 18/13 +0.064 ( -0.406)
  0.506 0.153 0.004 - 0.494 0.161 0.004  
  4 0 18/16* 8/3 +0.056 ( -0.414)
  0.488 0.190 0.008 - 0.512 0.169 0.008  
  5 0 18/16* 6/1 +0.027 ( -0.443)
  0.488 0.164 0.005 - 0.512 0.161 0.005  

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