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62S-53P-33E-31 — *** Rollout ***

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Monday, 6 February 2012, at 8:55 a.m.

In Response To: 62S-53P-33E-31 — Yeah, I missed another easy one. (Taper_Mike)

Thanks, Dmitriy and David, for your cogent remarks. I definitely outsmarted myself with this one. The bad part is that I know the general principle!

In the early game, when your opponent is able to grab an advanced anchor, on the next turn you should be thinking, “Split!” even before the dice hit the board (a paraphrasal of a passage from Jeremy Bagai’s Classic Backgammon Revisited). After the opponent anchors, you cannot blitz or prime him, so the best plan is to race, or get an anchor of your own so you can play a holding game.

Following is my rollout.

Mike
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 147
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 159
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B--DbB---dEa--c-c--b-B-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31
1.Rollout124/21 6/5eq: -0.4319
Player:
Opponent:		39.88% (G:8.85% B:0.34%)
60.12% (G:16.42% B:0.63%)		Conf.: ±0.0073 (-0.4392...-0.4246) - [100.0%]
Duration: 30 minutes 04 seconds
2.Rollout124/23 24/21eq: -0.4660 (-0.0341)
Player:
Opponent:		38.85% (G:8.27% B:0.31%)
61.15% (G:15.70% B:0.57%)		Conf.: ±0.0069 (-0.4729...-0.4590) - [0.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 08 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 92787744
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

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