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LV Round #5 Cube #1 Rollout

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Friday, 21 November 2008, at 7:08 p.m.

In Response To: LV Round #5 Cube #1 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Ray: First off, when you have no idea... Its a take!

I generally agree and tend towards taking very aggressively, particularly early in a match. Sometimes it blows up in my face, but if I pass this one, Kit will be pushing me around the rest of the match with the cube. I'd rather take a 1.16 drop than pass this .84 take. The race is close, I can easily win the race.

I ran with one, Kit hit loose and made a 4 point board, I hit back, Kit hit back again, I rolled 55 and boxes and cubed him out.

The score (after 0 games) is: Kit Woolsey 0, Matt Cohn-Geier 0 (match to 15 points)

Move number 29: Kit Woolsey doubles to 2

Kit Woolsey	64
Matt Cohn-Geier	66
Position ID: 77cAAAPv8DYAAA Match ID: MBngAQAAAAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier accepts

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5028	(Money: +0.5026)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.8403
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.1597
3.	No double	+0.7645	-0.0757
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7479 0.0072 0.0000 - 0.2521 0.0005 0.0000 +0.5028 +0.7645 Standard error 0.0020 0.0006 0.0001 - 0.0020 0.0002 0.0000 0.0039 0.0081 Player Matt Cohn-Geier owns 2-cube 0.7513 0.0058 0.0000 - 0.2487 0.0004 0.0000 +1.0298 +0.8403 Standard error 0.0021 0.0007 0.0001 - 0.0021 0.0002 0.0000 0.0087 0.0102
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 805883957 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• LV Round #5 Cube #1
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 4:10 a.m.
  • LV Round #5 Cube #1
    adambulldog -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 4:37 a.m.
  • LV Round #5 Cube #1
    Havard Raddum -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 8:22 a.m.
  • LV Round #5 Cube #1
    pontiac -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 2:04 p.m.
  • LV Round #5 Cube #1
    Keene -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 3:16 p.m.
  • LV Round #5 Cube #1
    Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 5:22 p.m.
    • LV Round #5 Cube #1
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 5:29 p.m.
  • OTB
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 6:10 p.m.
    • OTB
      neilkaz -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 6:59 p.m.
      • OTB
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 8:25 p.m.
        • OTB
          neilkaz -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 8:28 p.m.
    • OTB
      Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 9:38 p.m.
  • LV Round #5 Cube #1
    Caryl Stephanson -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 9:52 p.m.
  • LV Round #5 Cube #1 Rollout
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 21 November 2008, at 7:08 p.m.