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LV Semifinals Play #3 Rollout
Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier In Response To: LV Semifinals Play #3 (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Sunday, 23 November 2008, at 3:42 a.m.
I thought this one would be easy with QF, the hard part was playing it OTB. I was pretty sure GNU would hate my play, and it does.
I need an outfield point. The best way to make outfield points is to slot them. So, 22/18 22/16. My play does get double hit a lot, and that's a problem--it's difficult to make points when you have two checkers on the bar. However it's better than killing checkers here and if Perry double hits me he will usually either have to leave me a return 3 shot or bust up his prime. Either way I have chances to get back into it, and it's not clear that he'll double hit with any number which does double hit, so I may be able to make an outfield point from the bar. GNU plays 22/16 8/4 on 2-ply by .0135. TCTC for second best.
The score (after 1 game) is: Perry Gartner 0, Matt Cohn-Geier 2 (match to 15 points)
Move number 18: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 64
Perry Gartner 144
Matt Cohn-Geier 176 Position ID: 4DmbEwBsZjDADg Match ID: cAnzAQAAEAAA
• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 22/18 22/16
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 22/18 22/16 -0.7225
0.3229 0.0617 0.0022 - 0.6771 0.1510 0.0047 -0.4521 -0.7225 0.0021 0.0016 0.0003 - 0.0021 0.0020 0.0005 0.0052 0.0142 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1301 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806237006 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 22/16 8/4 -0.7783 ( -0.0559)
0.3095 0.0563 0.0021 - 0.6905 0.1362 0.0037 -0.4688 -0.7783 0.0018 0.0012 0.0006 - 0.0018 0.0019 0.0004 0.0045 0.0116 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806237006 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 22/16 13/9 -0.7850 ( -0.0626)
0.3186 0.0582 0.0019 - 0.6814 0.1704 0.0056 -0.4880 -0.7850 0.0027 0.0016 0.0002 - 0.0027 0.0026 0.0006 0.0067 0.0188 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 786 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806237006 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 22/18 8/2 -0.7888 ( -0.0663)
0.3091 0.0611 0.0020 - 0.6909 0.1475 0.0051 -0.4784 -0.7888 0.0027 0.0021 0.0002 - 0.0027 0.0031 0.0005 0.0067 0.0181 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806237006 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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