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LV Doubles Round #3 Cube #1 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Wednesday, 26 November 2008, at 5:18 a.m.

In Response To: LV Doubles Round #3 Cube #1 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

I had originally intended to take this, but Stick was vociferous in arguing for the pass. As soon as Kit doubled this Stick blew the cube backwards "because I don't want it getting too close to Matt." I still had every intention of taking this but I think the line that finally put me over the edge was "How do you intend to win this game? Magic?"

Blah, whatever. We're not getting crushed, take. Double is way TCTC. No one way of winning this game is likely but we have several persisting over many rolls.

The score (after 3 games) is: Kit Woolsey-Tami Jones 2, Matt Cohn-Geier-Stick Rice 3 (match to 7 points)

Move number 8: Kit Woolsey-Tami Jones on roll, cube decision?

Kit Woolsey-Tami Jones	146
Matt Cohn-Geier-Stick Rice	159
Position ID: 4OvgARiY85gBAw Match ID: MAHgACAAGAAA

• Kit Woolsey-Tami Jones doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5493	(Money: +0.5116)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.8885
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.1115
3.	No double	+0.8818	-0.0066
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7041 0.1611 0.0065 - 0.2959 0.0624 0.0017 +0.5493 +0.8818 Standard error 0.0030 0.0035 0.0009 - 0.0030 0.0059 0.0011 0.0088 0.0201 Player Matt Cohn-Geier-Stick Rice owns 2-cube 0.7098 0.1573 0.0068 - 0.2902 0.0667 0.0083 +1.1149 +0.8885 Standard error 0.0037 0.0041 0.0012 - 0.0037 0.0077 0.0038 0.0226 0.0272
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
349 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 805982576 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• LV Doubles Round #3 Cube #1
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 23 November 2008, at 8:30 p.m.
  • LV Doubles Round #3 Cube #1
    Martin -- Sunday, 23 November 2008, at 8:51 p.m.
  • LV Doubles Round #3 Cube #1
    pontiac -- Sunday, 23 November 2008, at 9:59 p.m.
  • LV Doubles Round #3 Cube #1
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 24 November 2008, at 5:23 a.m.
  • LV Doubles Round #3 Cube #1
    Havard Raddum -- Monday, 24 November 2008, at 8:41 a.m.
  • LV Doubles Round #3 Cube #1
    neilkaz -- Monday, 24 November 2008, at 5:05 p.m.
  • LV Doubles Round #3 Cube #1 ROLLOUT
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 26 November 2008, at 5:18 a.m.