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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 7 February 2010, at 11:20 p.m.

In Response To: You would have got this wrong OtB (Stick)

Still hard for me to swallow it's this big of a blunder not to cube.





is Dorn Bishop

score: 0
pip: 117
11 point match
pip: 153
score: 3

is John O'Hagan
XGID=------CbBCCB----bbccBa-b--:0:0:-1:00:3:0:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 65.99% (G: 8.31% B: 0.18%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.01% (G: 6.01% B: 0.30%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.61% (G: 8.08% B: 0.20%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.39% (G: 5.71% B: 0.36%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.338
Double:+0.711
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.413 (-0.113)
Double/Take:+0.526
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.474)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.015 (+0.398...+0.429)
Confidence Double: ± 0.021 (+0.505...+0.548)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 19 minutes 12 seconds

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