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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 17 June 2010, at 7:55 p.m.

In Response To: 52S-64P-43? (Stick)

I made what appears to be the 4th best play here. I had narrowed it down to 13/6 or 20, 10. I have a weak stomach and couldn't bring myself to play 13/6 though I would have played it clearly before running and mildly before resplitting. Note that running 22/15 is only rolled out 15k trials as I added it after seeing Nack's truncated rollout. Originally I hadn't planned on including it because I hate the play.

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 157 Money session pip: 160 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-D---eD---b-d--AbA-:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
to play 43

1.	Rollout1	13/6	eq: -0.100
	Player: Opponent: 48.22% (G:13.86% B:0.83%) 51.78% (G:17.10% B:0.74%) Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.104...-0.096) Duration: 13 hours 28 minutes
2.	Rollout1	24/21 13/9	eq: -0.100 (-0.001)
	Player: Opponent: 48.46% (G:13.99% B:0.95%) 51.54% (G:17.91% B:1.00%) Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.104...-0.096) Duration: 14 hours 40 minutes
3.	Rollout2	22/15	eq: -0.101 (-0.002)
	Player: Opponent: 48.69% (G:12.08% B:0.73%) 51.31% (G:17.41% B:0.76%) Conf: ± 0.006 (-0.107...-0.095) Duration: 2 hours 53 minutes
4.	Rollout1	24/20 13/10	eq: -0.106 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 48.08% (G:13.21% B:0.85%) 51.92% (G:17.27% B:0.92%) Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.110...-0.102) Duration: 15 hours 12 minutes
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 36438452 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 36438452 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

Messages In This Thread

• 52S-64P-43?
  Stick -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 11:12 p.m.
  • 52S-64P-43?
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 11:28 p.m.
  • 52S-64P-43?
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 12:31 a.m.
  • 52S-64P-43?
    Paul Weaver -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 12:48 a.m.
  • 52S-64P-43 -- bot content
    Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 8:25 a.m.
    • 52S-64P-43 -- bot content
      Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 3:01 p.m.
    • 52S-64P-43 -- bot content
      Stick -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 4:13 p.m.
      • 52S-64P-43 -- bot content
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 5:31 p.m.
        • 64P-63 and 41T-64P-63
          Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 6:58 p.m.
    • 52S-64P-43 -- bot content
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 5:28 p.m.
  • 52S-64P-43?
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 4:10 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Thursday, 17 June 2010, at 7:55 p.m.
    • Rollout
      Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 17 June 2010, at 8:52 p.m.
      • Rollout
        Stick -- Thursday, 17 June 2010, at 8:59 p.m.
        • Rollout
          Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 17 June 2010, at 11:58 p.m.