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Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 18 June 2010, at 8:53 p.m.

In Response To: 63S-55A-65R-C? (Stick)

All the XG rollouts are posted below but here's the short version:

21S-55A-F-C
XG ... 0.545 (ND .012) 10k
GNU .. 0.550 (ND .030) 2k

31S-55A-F-C
XG ... 0.569 (ND .011) 15k

41S-55A-F-C
XG ... 0.577 (ND .012) 10k
GNU .. 0.580 (ND .026) 5k

62S-55A-65R-C
XG ... 0.477 (ND .027) 10k

64S-55A-65R-C
XG ... 0.498 (ND .003) 10k





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 165
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 147
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=aBaB--C-A---dEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 60.09% (G: 29.77% B: 1.28%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.91% (G: 10.27% B: 0.60%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.73% (G: 30.81% B: 1.39%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.27% (G: 10.05% B: 0.60%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.202
Double:+0.860
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.545
Double/Take:+0.533 (-0.012)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.455)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36438452
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.008 (+0.537...+0.552)
Confidence Double: ± 0.010 (+0.522...+0.543)
Double Decision confidence: 97.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 44 minutes
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 164
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 147
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=aBaB--C-A---dE-a-c-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 60.62% (G: 29.58% B: 1.31%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.38% (G: 9.92% B: 0.56%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 61.25% (G: 30.69% B: 1.36%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.75% (G: 9.80% B: 0.58%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.212
Double:+0.884
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.569
Double/Take:+0.557 (-0.011)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.431)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36438452
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.006 (+0.563...+0.575)
Confidence Double: ± 0.009 (+0.549...+0.566)
Double Decision confidence: 98.2%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 6 hours 05 minutes
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 163
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 147
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=aBaB--C-A---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 60.74% (G: 30.04% B: 1.39%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.26% (G: 10.12% B: 0.60%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 61.18% (G: 31.34% B: 1.45%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.82% (G: 10.09% B: 0.62%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.215
Double:+0.889
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.577
Double/Take:+0.565 (-0.012)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.423)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36438452
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.007 (+0.570...+0.585)
Confidence Double: ± 0.011 (+0.555...+0.576)
Double Decision confidence: 97.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 33 minutes
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 147
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-B-B--CaA--adEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 58.67% (G: 27.77% B: 0.98%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41.33% (G: 8.65% B: 0.52%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 59.22% (G: 29.34% B: 1.15%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.78% (G: 8.63% B: 0.58%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.173
Double:+0.795
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.477
Double/Take:+0.450 (-0.027)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.523)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36438452
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.007 (+0.470...+0.484)
Confidence Double: ± 0.010 (+0.440...+0.460)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 40 minutes
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 147
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 147
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-B-B--CaA--adE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 59.11% (G: 29.16% B: 1.12%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.89% (G: 9.09% B: 0.55%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 59.65% (G: 31.09% B: 1.27%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.35% (G: 9.19% B: 0.60%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.182
Double:+0.837
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.498
Double/Take:+0.495 (-0.003)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.502)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36438452
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.006 (+0.492...+0.504)
Confidence Double: ± 0.010 (+0.485...+0.504)
Double Decision confidence: 70.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 34 minutes

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