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54D-32, two GnuBG rollouts

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 15 July 2010, at 5:59 p.m.

In Response To: 54D-32 question for Nack (Nack Ballard)


2O ' ' ' '5X '4X1X ' '5O

2X ' ' ' '5O '3O ' ' '3X

54D-32 (first rollout)


# Ply Move Equity
• 1 R 13/11 13/10 -0.1603
46.31 13.46 0.63- 53.69 17.04 1.07 -0.1141 -0.1603
0.05 0.05 0.01- 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.0013 0.0036
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1035360852 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 24/21 13/11 -0.1691 ( -0.0089)
46.57 11.89 0.57- 53.43 17.14 0.77 -0.1232 -0.1691
0.05 0.05 0.03- 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.0012 0.0034
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1035360852 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 13/11 8/5 -0.1734 ( -0.0131)
46.40 13.09 0.53- 53.60 17.77 1.31 -0.1267 -0.1734
0.06 0.05 0.02- 0.06 0.06 0.03 0.0015 0.0040
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1035360852 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 24/22 13/10 -0.1822 ( -0.0219)
46.08 12.23 0.62- 53.92 17.44 0.82 -0.1325 -0.1822
0.09 0.09 0.05- 0.09 0.09 0.03 0.0025 0.0064
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1035360852 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 13/10 6/4 -0.1830 ( -0.0227)
46.32 12.69 0.56- 53.68 17.90 1.31 -0.1334 -0.1830
0.11 0.08 0.02- 0.11 0.11 0.05 0.0029 0.0075
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1035360852 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]


2O ' ' ' '5X '4X1X ' '5O

2X ' ' ' '5O '3O ' ' '3X

54D-32 (second rollout)


# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/21 13/11 -0.1626
46.68 11.90 0.56- 53.32 17.21 0.80 -0.1220 -0.1626
0.06 0.06 0.03- 0.06 0.07 0.03 0.0017 0.0044
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857688062 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 13/11 8/5 -0.1627 ( -0.0001)
46.52 13.14 0.57- 53.48 17.64 1.26 -0.1214 -0.1627
0.07 0.06 0.02- 0.07 0.07 0.03 0.0018 0.0046
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857688062 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 13/10 6/4 -0.1682 ( -0.0056)
46.57 12.78 0.58- 53.43 17.98 1.31 -0.1278 -0.1682
0.08 0.06 0.02- 0.08 0.08 0.04 0.0021 0.0055
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857688062 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
• 4 R 13/11 13/10 -0.1724 ( -0.0098)
46.25 13.46 0.63- 53.75 17.07 1.09 -0.1156 -0.1724
0.06 0.06 0.02- 0.06 0.07 0.03 0.0016 0.0041
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857688062 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 24/22 13/10 -0.1948 ( -0.0321)
45.87 12.06 0.53- 54.13 17.31 0.81 -0.1379 -0.1948
0.08 0.08 0.04- 0.08 0.09 0.03 0.0021 0.0060
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857688062 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

How about that second rollout! S (Split) and % (alt slot, 13/11 8/5) are almost exactly tied, and $ (slot (13/10 6/4) is only a few thousandths behind, all of them ahead of D (Down) at -.010. But its only 10k trials.

I'll post Snowie's rollout separately.

Nack

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