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Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV? ROLLOUT

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Tuesday, 1 March 2011, at 2:13 p.m.

In Response To: Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV? (Chuck Bower)

I wonder what a real rollout would show.

The score (after 0 games) is: GammonBot 13, You 24

Move number 4: You to play 51

GammonBot	146
You	141
Position ID: MeeYASjMzowBQQ Match ID: cIkGANAAwAAA

• You moves bar/24* 20/15

Alert: missed double ( -0.003)!

Cube decision
3-ply cubeless equity		+0.444
	63.7 26.5 1.8 - 36.3 10.8 0.5
Cubeful equities:
	3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
1.	Double, take	+0.639
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.361
3.	No double	+0.635	-0.003
Proper cube action:		Double, take

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.041)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	bar/20 6/5	+0.798
			66.9 22.8 0.9 - 33.1 6.2 0.2 +0.511 +0.798 0.1 0.1 0.0 - 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			7776 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 877423860 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
•	2	R	bar/24* 20/15	+0.757 ( -0.041)
			65.4 28.6 2.4 - 34.6 8.3 0.4 +0.530 +0.757 0.1 0.1 0.0 - 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.002 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			7777 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 877423860 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
	3	R	bar/20 10/9	+0.727 ( -0.071)
			65.4 21.8 1.0 - 34.6 6.6 0.2 +0.467 +0.727 0.2 0.2 0.1 - 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.004 0.013
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1477 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 877423860 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
	4	R	bar/24* 6/1*	+0.637 ( -0.161)
			61.9 29.6 2.0 - 38.1 9.1 0.4 +0.458 +0.637 0.3 0.2 0.1 - 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.007 0.024
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			634 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 877423860 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
	5	R	bar/24* 13/8	+0.623 ( -0.176)
			61.9 28.2 2.6 - 38.1 9.2 0.4 +0.448 +0.623 0.3 0.3 0.2 - 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.009 0.024
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			631 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 877423860 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
	6	R	bar/24* 10/5	+0.604 ( -0.195)
			62.0 29.9 2.7 - 38.0 9.6 0.5 +0.464 +0.604 0.3 0.3 0.1 - 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.009 0.026
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			633 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 877423860 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Messages In This Thread

• Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV?
  Chuck Bower -- Monday, 28 February 2011, at 12:45 a.m.
  • Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV?
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 28 February 2011, at 3:27 a.m.
    • Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV?
      Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 28 February 2011, at 3:58 a.m.
      • Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV?
        Stick -- Monday, 28 February 2011, at 4:02 a.m.
        • Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV?
          Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 28 February 2011, at 4:10 a.m.
          • Rollout of cubed variant
            Stick -- Tuesday, 1 March 2011, at 12:21 a.m.
            • Rollout of cubed variant
              Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 1 March 2011, at 3:42 a.m.
        • Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV?
          leobueno -- Monday, 28 February 2011, at 2:37 p.m.
          • Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV?
            Timothy Chow -- Monday, 28 February 2011, at 11:03 p.m.
            • Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV?
              Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 1 March 2011, at 5:35 a.m.
              • Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV?
                Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 1 March 2011, at 11:58 p.m.
                • Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV?
                  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 2 March 2011, at 5:05 a.m.
  • Another (or two) 'mythbuster' situation for GV? ROLLOUT
    leobueno -- Tuesday, 1 March 2011, at 2:13 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 1 March 2011, at 4:16 p.m.
  • 63R-53D-22M-33A-43T-43S-52H-51
    Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 20 April 2011, at 9:01 p.m.