JSDs > 5, so how reliable is the rollout?
Reliable enough it seems.
I expect most who post here have already done the rollouts before making a thread, so no need to roll out these positions (unless they stay up for a while with no rollout posted).

              
 
              
 | | White is XG Roller
score: 6 pip: 109 | 7 point match | pip: 136 score: 6
Blue is Michael | |
XGID=---BBBDa----c--B-cAbB-db--:0:0:1:21:6:6:0:7:10 |
Blue to play 21 |
1. | Rollout1 | 20/18 6/5 | eq: -0.086 |
| Player: Opponent: | 45.71% (G:11.95% B:0.70%) 54.29% (G:13.74% B:0.21%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.090...-0.081) - [100.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 22 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 20/18 15/14 | eq: -0.136 (-0.050) |
| Player: Opponent: | 43.21% (G:11.95% B:0.60%) 56.79% (G:22.03% B:0.83%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.141...-0.131) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 55 seconds |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 6/5 6/4 | eq: -0.157 (-0.071) |
| Player: Opponent: | 42.15% (G:11.91% B:0.50%) 57.85% (G:13.61% B:0.22%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.161...-0.153) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 36 seconds |
|
4. | Rollout1 | 6/3 | eq: -0.160 (-0.074) |
| Player: Opponent: | 42.02% (G:11.47% B:0.63%) 57.98% (G:14.08% B:0.18%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.164...-0.155) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 19 seconds |
|
5. | Rollout1 | 18/15 | eq: -0.194 (-0.108) |
| Player: Opponent: | 40.30% (G:9.35% B:0.56%) 59.70% (G:8.68% B:0.07%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.199...-0.189) - [0.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 30 seconds |
|
6. | Rollout1 | 18/16 6/5 | eq: -0.201 (-0.115) |
| Player: Opponent: | 39.97% (G:9.45% B:0.50%) 60.03% (G:13.40% B:0.14%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.205...-0.196) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 11 seconds |
|
|
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.162.beta, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross