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BGonline.org Forums
Previously posted 63 *rollout*
Posted By: leobueno
Date: Wednesday, 27 July 2011, at 6:32 p.m.
Below is a rollout of a position in another thread (which I can't find now).
As you can see, the two top plays are very close. Sorry, had to stop rollout, so the result is inconclusive. May be worthy of a bigger rollout.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, leo 1 (match to 7 points)
Move number 3: leo to play 63
gnubg 149
leo 157 Position ID: 4NvgAyCGZ/ABMA Match ID: cAnvAAAACAAE
• leo moves 24/15
Cube decision 4-ply cubeless equity -0.165 (Money: -0.175) 0.425 0.121 0.002 - 0.575 0.142 0.006 Cubeful equities: 4-ply cubeful prune 1. No double -0.282 2. Double, pass +1.000 +1.282 3. Double, take -0.909 -0.627 Proper cube action: No double, take (32.8%)
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 24/15 -0.367
0.411 0.100 0.004 - 0.589 0.150 0.006 -0.238 -0.367 0.001 0.001 0.001 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.005 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 4764 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 923568318 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 24/21 13/7 -0.370 ( -0.003)
0.410 0.117 0.004 - 0.590 0.153 0.008 -0.226 -0.370 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.005 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 4757 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 923568318 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 13/10 13/7 -0.451 ( -0.084)
0.391 0.125 0.005 - 0.609 0.156 0.010 -0.265 -0.451 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.005 0.011 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1298 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 923568318 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 13/4 -0.469 ( -0.101)
0.385 0.112 0.003 - 0.615 0.150 0.007 -0.281 -0.469 0.002 0.002 0.000 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.004 0.010 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1298 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 923568318 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5 4 13/7 6/3 -0.521 ( -0.154) 0.377 0.109 0.002 - 0.623 0.170 0.010 4-ply cubeful prune 6 4 24/21 8/2 -0.535 ( -0.168) 0.372 0.090 0.002 - 0.628 0.170 0.007 4-ply cubeful prune 7 4 13/7 8/5 -0.556 ( -0.188) 0.373 0.110 0.002 - 0.627 0.181 0.013 4-ply cubeful prune 8 4 13/10 8/2 -0.590 ( -0.222) 0.361 0.105 0.002 - 0.639 0.177 0.009 4-ply cubeful prune
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