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Previously posted 63 *rollout*

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Wednesday, 27 July 2011, at 6:32 p.m.

Below is a rollout of a position in another thread (which I can't find now).

As you can see, the two top plays are very close. Sorry, had to stop rollout, so the result is inconclusive. May be worthy of a bigger rollout.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, leo 1 (match to 7 points)

Move number 3: leo to play 63

gnubg149


2O ' ' ' '5X2X2X ' ' '5O

1X2O ' ' '4O '2O ' ' '5X

leo157

Position ID: 4NvgAyCGZ/ABMA Match ID: cAnvAAAACAAE

• leo moves 24/15

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity -0.165(Money: -0.175)
0.425 0.121 0.002 - 0.575 0.142 0.006
Cubeful equities:
4-ply cubeful prune
1.No double -0.282
2.Double, pass +1.000 +1.282
3.Double, take -0.909 -0.627
Proper cube action:No double, take (32.8%)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/15 -0.367
0.4110.1000.004-0.5890.1500.006 -0.238 -0.367
0.0010.0010.001-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4764 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 923568318 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 24/21 13/7 -0.370 ( -0.003)
0.4100.1170.004-0.5900.1530.008 -0.226 -0.370
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4757 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 923568318 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 13/10 13/7 -0.451 ( -0.084)
0.3910.1250.005-0.6090.1560.010 -0.265 -0.451
0.0020.0020.001-0.0020.0020.001 0.005 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1298 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 923568318 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 13/4 -0.469 ( -0.101)
0.3850.1120.003-0.6150.1500.007 -0.281 -0.469
0.0020.0020.000-0.0020.0020.001 0.004 0.010
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1298 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 923568318 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 4 13/7 6/3 -0.521 ( -0.154)
0.377 0.109 0.002 - 0.623 0.170 0.010
4-ply cubeful prune
6 4 24/21 8/2 -0.535 ( -0.168)
0.372 0.090 0.002 - 0.628 0.170 0.007
4-ply cubeful prune
7 4 13/7 8/5 -0.556 ( -0.188)
0.373 0.110 0.002 - 0.627 0.181 0.013
4-ply cubeful prune
8 4 13/10 8/2 -0.590 ( -0.222)
0.361 0.105 0.002 - 0.639 0.177 0.009
4-ply cubeful prune

 

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