Stick and Jason have kindly took on the assignments of 41S-54 AtS (below). According to their XG2 4-ply rollouts, a different play is best at each score.
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162 | | 1 point match | pip: 167
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aa---E-C---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:45:0:0:0:1:10 |
| Blue to play 45 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/15 | eq: -0.057 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.17% (G:12.15% B:1.33%)
52.83% (G:17.43% B:1.82%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (-0.058...-0.055) - [99.9%]
Duration: 1 day 10 hours 24 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 13/8 | eq: -0.060 (-0.003) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.01% (G:13.63% B:1.50%)
52.99% (G:17.42% B:1.94%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (-0.061...-0.058) - [0.1%]
Duration: 1 day 08 hours 42 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/20 6/1* | eq: -0.060 (-0.004) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.98% (G:14.21% B:1.21%)
53.02% (G:17.78% B:2.13%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (-0.062...-0.059) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 day 14 hours 24 minutes |
|
| |
1 11664 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67288920
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2
| | White is Player 2
score: 3
pip: 162 | 5 point match
Crawford | pip: 167
score: 4
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aa---E-C---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:54:4:3:1:5:10 |
| Blue to play 54 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 6/1* | eq: -0.380 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.42% (G:15.08% B:1.45%)
53.58% (G:15.42% B:1.99%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.383...-0.378) - [100.0%]
Duration: 21 hours 00 minute |
|
| 2. | Rollout2 | 24/20 13/8 | eq: -0.386 (-0.006) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.80% (G:14.34% B:1.79%)
53.20% (G:16.11% B:1.44%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.389...-0.384) - [0.0%]
Duration: 17 hours 32 minutes |
|
| |
1 7990 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 89953162
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
2 7988 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 89953162
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2
| | White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 162 | 2 point match
Crawford | pip: 167
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aa---E-C---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:54:0:1:1:2:10 |
| Blue to play 54 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/9 13/8 | eq: +0.195 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.97% (G:12.80% B:1.17%)
53.03% (G:17.94% B:2.86%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.194...+0.196) - [99.8%]
Duration: 2 days 13 hours 10 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 6/1* | eq: +0.194 (-0.002) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.74% (G:11.93% B:1.09%)
52.26% (G:18.26% B:2.58%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.193...+0.194) - [0.2%]
Duration: 2 days 23 hours 47 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 13/8 6/2* | eq: +0.185 (-0.011) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.78% (G:12.45% B:1.15%)
53.22% (G:19.46% B:3.38%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.183...+0.186) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 day 10 hours 44 minutes |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 24/20 13/8 | eq: +0.183 (-0.013) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.55% (G:11.58% B:1.02%)
52.45% (G:17.44% B:2.08%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.181...+0.184) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 day 05 hours 43 minutes |
|
| |
1 62208 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 70339783
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
2 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 58528849
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2
I'll summarize 41S-54 data in the next post.
Nack