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Four-score position from "Backgammon Openings"

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 19 September 2011, at 5:02 p.m.

The XG2 rollout below casts some doubt on whether Nack's position in Backgammon Openings is truly a four-score position. 24/18(2) is the top play at DMP.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 130
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 153
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aABaBD------C-bcb-b--bbC-:1:-1:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout124/18(2)eq: -0.428
Player:
Opponent:
44.16% (G:12.06% B:0.52%)
55.84% (G:23.00% B:0.89%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.432...-0.424)
Duration: 1 hour 25 minutes
2.Rollout124/21(2) 24/18eq: -0.429 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
43.13% (G:12.25% B:0.49%)
56.87% (G:18.38% B:0.73%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.433...-0.425)
Duration: 1 hour 33 minutes
3.Rollout124/21(2) 13/10(2)eq: -0.436 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:
43.11% (G:13.42% B:0.50%)
56.89% (G:20.06% B:1.04%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.440...-0.432)
Duration: 1 hour 26 minutes
4.Rollout224/21(3) 6/3eq: -0.476 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:
40.59% (G:10.99% B:0.36%)
59.41% (G:15.17% B:0.51%)
Conf: ± 0.006 (-0.482...-0.470)
Duration: 45 minutes 47 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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