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This is a take?

Posted By: RealNick
Date: Tuesday, 11 October 2011, at 5:51 p.m.

I just don't see how this is a practical take...and per Stick's advice, I played it out a few dozen times to see if I could "see" how it is a take. I lost every game. I'm blue bearing off to the left. What positional features make this a take?





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 104
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 143
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---ABBBB--a-BBb--cbb-bcB--:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.08% (G:9.58% B:0.41%) 73.51% (G:9.44% B:0.33%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.92% (G:2.88% B:0.10%) 26.49% (G:3.12% B:0.11%)
Cubeless Equities +0.532 +1.071
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.877 (-0.028)±0.009 (+0.868..+0.886)
Double/Take:+0.905±0.012 (+0.893..+0.918)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.095)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 20 minutes 49 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

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