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XGR+ RO's

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 8 November 2011, at 4:35 p.m.

In Response To: Tino Road Position (PINO)

To better study problems like this you want to use a high level of playing strength. This is allready a pass so I rolled the 42 play out assuming DT. I strongly feel that a human who is expert at this position type could at least slightly outplay XGR+.




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 47
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 131
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aaCBBBBB-------------aAA:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 79.075% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 80.433% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20.925% (G:3.102% B:1.058%) 19.567% (G:3.071% B:0.999%)
Cubeless Equities +0.5399 +1.1359
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.9905 (-0.0095)±0.0108 (+0.9797..+1.0013)
Redouble/Take:+1.0282 (+0.0282)±0.0138 (+1.0144..+1.0420)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67389374
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:95.8%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 13 hours 30 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 47
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 131
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aaCBBBBB-------------aAA:1:-1:1:24:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 24

1.Rollout1Bar/19eq: +0.4856
Player:
Opponent:
79.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
20.85% (G:3.40% B:0.93%)
Conf.: ±0.0099 (+0.4757...+0.4955) - [56.7%]
Duration: 5 hours 11 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/23* 7/3* eq: +0.4844 (-0.0013)
Player:
Opponent:
79.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
20.88% (G:3.23% B:1.05%)
Conf.: ±0.0101 (+0.4743...+0.4944) - [43.2%]
Duration: 6 hours 25 minutes
3.Rollout1Bar/21 4/2* eq: +0.4664 (-0.0192)
Player:
Opponent:
78.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
21.42% (G:3.66% B:1.10%)
Conf.: ±0.0098 (+0.4566...+0.4762) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 31 minutes
4.Rollout1Bar/21 9/7eq: +0.4650 (-0.0206)
Player:
Opponent:
78.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
21.53% (G:3.54% B:1.18%)
Conf.: ±0.0102 (+0.4548...+0.4753) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 14 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67389374
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

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