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A simple ace pt game***RO***

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Friday, 18 November 2011, at 9:11 a.m.

In Response To: A simple ace pt game (Dmitriy Obukhov)





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 134
7 point match
pip: 95
score: 5

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bB-BCBBBa--bB-----bccaa--:0:0:1:00:5:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.881% (G:24.667% B:6.906%) 77.974% (G:29.629% B:8.385%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.119% (G:1.341% B:0.045%) 22.026% (G:1.410% B:0.004%)
Cubeless Equities +0.9523 +1.5262
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.9589±0.0080 (+0.9509..+0.9669)
Double/Take:+0.9436 (-0.0153)±0.0124 (+0.9312..+0.9560)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.0411)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 21.3%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:97.9%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 45 minutes 49 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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