T4 confirmed! 52S-31P-62, rollouts at all four scores

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

T4 confirmed! 52S-31P-62, rollouts at all four scores

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 24 November 2011, at 6:27 a.m.

In Response To: 52S-31P-62, possible T4 (Nack Ballard)

AFAIK, 52S-31P-62 is the first T4 (technical four-score position) to have been discovered as early as the third roll of the game that holds up under the scrutiny of lengthy XG 3-ply rollouts.
Here is a nacbrac summary of the rollout results posted below:
m[R S1 r4 Z10] "<=103*58 15 (and [S R1 r4 Z14] "<20**5)
d[r S3 R9 s27 Z29] "<46*15 5
s[Z C37 R74] "<5
g[S Z11 r14 R26 s28] "<20*12 5

Ken Bame is rolling out 52S-31P-62 for money on XG2 4-ply. I'll post the result when his rollout is completed.
Nack
MONEY

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 163

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-b----E-D---eD---b-db-A-A-:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 62

1. Rollout¹ 22/14 eq: -0.2800
Player:
Opponent: 44.06% (G:10.48% B:0.50%)
55.94% (G:17.74% B:0.64%) Conf.: ą0.0017 (-0.2817...-0.2783) - [74.2%]
Duration: 2 days 15 hours 29 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 22/16 13/11 eq: -0.2808 (-0.0008)
Player:
Opponent: 44.05% (G:11.18% B:0.54%)
55.95% (G:18.28% B:0.83%) Conf.: ą0.0017 (-0.2825...-0.2791) - [25.4%]
Duration: 2 days 14 hours 15 minutes
3. Rollout² 24/16 eq: -0.2836 (-0.0037)
Player:
Opponent: 44.36% (G:10.59% B:0.56%)
55.64% (G:19.20% B:0.67%) Conf.: ą0.0024 (-0.2860...-0.2813) - [0.3%]
Duration: 2 days 05 hours 52 minutes
4. Rollout³ 24/22 13/7 eq: -0.2898 (-0.0099)
Player:
Opponent: 42.51% (G:11.42% B:0.48%)
57.49% (G:14.39% B:0.59%) Conf.: ą0.0047 (-0.2945...-0.2852) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 hours 58 minutes

¹ 103680 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 41364172
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 58320 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 41364172
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

³ 15351 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 41364172
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

DMP

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 163

1 point match

pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-b----E-D---eD---b-db-A-A-:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 62

1. Rollout¹ 24/16 eq: -0.113
Player:
Opponent: 44.35% (G:12.08% B:1.60%)
55.65% (G:20.21% B:2.36%) Conf.: ą 0.001 (-0.114...-0.112) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 day 07 hours 43 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 22/16 13/11 eq: -0.116 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent: 44.20% (G:12.60% B:1.50%)
55.80% (G:19.95% B:2.77%) Conf.: ą 0.001 (-0.117...-0.115) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 day 07 hours 09 minutes
3. Rollout² 22/14 eq: -0.122 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent: 43.92% (G:11.66% B:1.36%)
56.08% (G:18.26% B:2.06%) Conf.: ą 0.002 (-0.123...-0.120) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 hours 12 minutes
4. Rollout³ 24/18 13/11 eq: -0.141 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent: 42.97% (G:12.48% B:1.64%)
57.03% (G:22.49% B:3.05%) Conf.: ą 0.003 (-0.143...-0.138) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 44 minutes
5. Rollout³ 24/22 13/7 eq: -0.142 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent: 42.89% (G:12.69% B:1.58%)
57.11% (G:18.31% B:2.33%) Conf.: ą 0.003 (-0.145...-0.139) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 48 minutes

¹ 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 47241684
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 47241684
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

³ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 47241684
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Gammon SAVE

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 163

2 point match
Crawford

pip: 160
score: 1

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-b----E-D---eD---b-db-A-A-:0:0:1:26:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 26

1. Rollout¹ 24/22 13/7 eq: -0.440
Player:
Opponent: 41.72% (G:12.78% B:1.46%)
58.28% (G:13.75% B:1.41%) Conf.: ą 0.004 (-0.444...-0.437) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 23 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 24/22 8/2 eq: -0.477 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent: 41.04% (G:13.11% B:1.68%)
58.96% (G:14.91% B:1.68%) Conf.: ą 0.004 (-0.482...-0.473) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 13 minutes
3. Rollout¹ 22/14 eq: -0.515 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent: 44.43% (G:13.53% B:1.98%)
55.57% (G:20.17% B:1.55%) Conf.: ą 0.004 (-0.519...-0.511) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 06 minutes

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 6344457
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Gammon GO

White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 163

2 point match
Crawford

pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-b----E-D---eD---b-db-A-A-:0:0:1:62:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 62

1. Rollout¹ 22/16 13/11 eq: +0.106
Player:
Opponent: 44.77% (G:10.53% B:1.00%)
55.23% (G:19.78% B:2.66%) Conf.: ą 0.002 (+0.104...+0.108) - [100.0%]
Duration: 16 hours 43 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 24/22 13/7 eq: +0.095 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent: 43.26% (G:11.48% B:0.82%)
56.74% (G:18.72% B:2.12%) Conf.: ą 0.002 (+0.093...+0.097) - [0.0%]
Duration: 17 hours 14 minutes
3. Rollout² 24/16 eq: +0.092 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent: 44.96% (G:9.65% B:1.09%)
55.04% (G:19.44% B:2.48%) Conf.: ą 0.002 (+0.090...+0.094) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 hours 21 minutes
4. Rollout³ 22/14 eq: +0.080 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent: 44.36% (G:9.62% B:0.74%)
55.64% (G:17.70% B:2.14%) Conf.: ą 0.003 (+0.076...+0.083) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 13 minutes
5. Rollout³ 24/18 13/11 eq: +0.078 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent: 43.58% (G:10.32% B:1.18%)
56.42% (G:22.32% B:3.05%) Conf.: ą 0.004 (+0.074...+0.082) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 07 minutes

¹ 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 59918362
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 12960 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 59918362
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

³ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 59918362
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

52S-31P-62, possible T4
Nack Ballard -- Monday, 21 November 2011, at 5:39 p.m.
- 52S-31P-62, possible T4
  Paul Weaver -- Monday, 21 November 2011, at 10:41 p.m.
  - 52S-31P-62, possible T4
    Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 1:17 a.m.
- 52S-31P-62, possible T4
  Turz -- Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 9:04 a.m.
  - 52S-31P-62, possible T4
    Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 3:54 p.m.
    - 52S-31P-62, possible T4
      Turz -- Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 4:07 p.m.
      - 52S-31P-62, possible T4
        Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 9:19 p.m.
- 52S-31P-62, possible T4
  David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 2:45 p.m.
- T4 confirmed! 52S-31P-62, rollouts at all four scores
  Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 24 November 2011, at 6:27 a.m.
  - T4 confirmed! 52S-31P-62, rollouts at all four scores
    Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 24 November 2011, at 8:08 a.m.
  - T4 confirmed! 52S-31P-62, rollouts at all four scores
    David Rockwell -- Thursday, 24 November 2011, at 2:45 p.m.
  - 52S-31P-62-d, 4-ply rollout
    Nack Ballard -- Friday, 9 December 2011, at 12:22 a.m.
  - T4 unconfirmed! 52S-31P-62 money 4-ply rollout
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 12:22 a.m.
    - T4 unconfirmed! 52S-31P-62 money 4-ply rollout
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 3:03 a.m.
      - T4 unconfirmed! 52S-31P-62 money 4-ply rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 4:50 a.m.
    - T4 unconfirmed! 52S-31P-62 money 4-ply rollout
      David Rockwell -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 3:55 a.m.
      - T4 unconfirmed! 52S-31P-62 money 4-ply rollout
        neilkaz -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 3:55 a.m.

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:
If necessary, enter your password below:
Password: