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52S-31P-62-d, 4-ply rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 9 December 2011, at 12:22 a.m.

In Response To: T4 confirmed! 52S-31P-62, rollouts at all four scores (Nack Ballard)

Thanks to Petter, who kindly rolled out 52S-31P-62 at dmp on 4-ply (details below), confirming my 3-ply result that r (run, 24/16) is the best play.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 163 1 point match pip: 160 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-D---eD---b-db-A-A-:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 62

1.	Rollout1	24/16	eq: -0.114
	Player: Opponent: 44.28% (G:13.09% B:1.60%) 55.72% (G:21.45% B:2.33%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (-0.115...-0.114) - [99.9%] Duration: 5 days 05 hours 44 minutes
2.	Rollout1	22/16 13/11	eq: -0.116 (-0.002)
	Player: Opponent: 44.20% (G:13.53% B:1.51%) 55.80% (G:21.18% B:2.66%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (-0.117...-0.115) - [0.1%] Duration: 5 days 03 hours 44 minutes
3.	Rollout2	22/14	eq: -0.121 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 43.93% (G:12.65% B:1.29%) 56.07% (G:19.69% B:2.07%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (-0.123...-0.120) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 day 02 hours 15 minutes
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 13579 Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply 2 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 13579 Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Here are nacbracs for the 3-ply and 4-ply rollouts (respectively):

[r S3 R9] "<=46*15
[r S2 R7] "^46*10

For those who like to see the extra decimal place...

[r S2.9 R8.6] "<=46*15
[r S1.7 R7.1] "^46*10

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• 52S-31P-62, possible T4
  Nack Ballard -- Monday, 21 November 2011, at 5:39 p.m.
  • 52S-31P-62, possible T4
    Paul Weaver -- Monday, 21 November 2011, at 10:41 p.m.
    • 52S-31P-62, possible T4
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 1:17 a.m.
  • 52S-31P-62, possible T4
    Turz -- Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 9:04 a.m.
    • 52S-31P-62, possible T4
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 3:54 p.m.
      • 52S-31P-62, possible T4
        Turz -- Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 4:07 p.m.
        • 52S-31P-62, possible T4
          Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 9:19 p.m.
  • 52S-31P-62, possible T4
    David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 22 November 2011, at 2:45 p.m.
  • T4 confirmed! 52S-31P-62, rollouts at all four scores
    Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 24 November 2011, at 6:27 a.m.
    • T4 confirmed! 52S-31P-62, rollouts at all four scores
      Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 24 November 2011, at 8:08 a.m.
    • T4 confirmed! 52S-31P-62, rollouts at all four scores
      David Rockwell -- Thursday, 24 November 2011, at 2:45 p.m.
    • 52S-31P-62-d, 4-ply rollout
      Nack Ballard -- Friday, 9 December 2011, at 12:22 a.m.
    • T4 unconfirmed! 52S-31P-62 money 4-ply rollout
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 12:22 a.m.
      • T4 unconfirmed! 52S-31P-62 money 4-ply rollout
        Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 3:03 a.m.
        • T4 unconfirmed! 52S-31P-62 money 4-ply rollout
          Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 4:50 a.m.
      • T4 unconfirmed! 52S-31P-62 money 4-ply rollout
        David Rockwell -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 3:55 a.m.
        • T4 unconfirmed! 52S-31P-62 money 4-ply rollout
          neilkaz -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 3:55 a.m.